Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40686657›Full record

ReviewGlobal epidemiology2025

Epidemiology of stroke in Pakistan and its provinces, 1990-2021: Findings from the global burden of disease study 2021.

Sufyan Shahid, Ali Dheyaa Marsool, Maha Sajjad, Muneeb Saifullah, Muhammad Awais Alam, Syed Ijlal Ahmed, Raheel Ahmed, Fahd Sultan

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Global epidemiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Sufyan ShahidKhawaja Muhammad Safdar Medical College, Sialkot, Pakistan.
Ali Dheyaa MarsoolUniversity of Baghdad/ Al-Kindy College of Medicine, Iraq.
Maha SajjadKing Edward Medical University, Lahore, Pakistan.
Muneeb SaifullahKing Edward Medical University, Lahore, Pakistan.
Muhammad Awais AlamKhawaja Muhammad Safdar Medical College, Sialkot, Pakistan.
Syed Ijlal AhmedSSM Health, Saint Louis, MO, USA.
Raheel AhmedNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Fahd SultanUniversity of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center, Oklahoma City, OK, United States.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Despite stroke being a leading cause of death in Pakistan, no study has comprehensively analyzed national and regional trends over time. This gap limits understanding of the evolving burden and underlying risk factors. Methods: We analyzed regional stroke trends in Pakistan from 1990 to 2021 using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 data. Age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and 18 modifiable risk factors were analyzed across provinces. Joinpoint regression identified temporal trends through annual percent changes (APCs), and population attributable fractions (PAFs) quantified risk contributions. All estimates incorporated 95 % uncertainty intervals and underwent sensitivity testing to ensure robustness. Findings: In 2021, stroke was the second leading cause of death in Pakistan, responsible for 99,759 deaths, with an incidence of 153 and a prevalence of 1088 per 100,000 population. Age-standardized rates for incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs declined overall from 1990 to 2021 (ASIR AAPC: -0.15 %), though reductions were modest. Regional trends showed the steepest declines in Islamabad and Punjab, while Balochistan experienced an increase in mortality (ASMR AAPC: +0.03 %) and DALYs (+0.05 %). Sex-specific trends showed greater declines in incidence and mortality among females, while DALY reductions were modest in both sexes, reflecting ongoing disability. High systolic blood pressure was the leading risk factor for stroke mortality (25.2 per 100,000) and DALYs (674.9 per 100,000), followed by household air pollution, ambient particulate matter, and high fasting glucose. These findings reflect the combined influence of cardiometabolic, environmental, and behavioral risks on Pakistan's evolving stroke burden. Interpretation: Despite modest improvements, stroke remains a major health challenge in Pakistan, with rising long-term disability and stark regional inequalities. Strengthening prevention, equitable access, and post-stroke care is essential to curb the growing burden.

Indexed as

Global burden of diseasePakistanStroke burden trendsStroke epidemiologyStroke mortalityStroke risk factors

Identifiers

PMID40686657
PMCPMC12274799

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.