Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40684443›Full record

ArticleAnnals of medicine2025

Musculoskeletal disorders in women of childbearing age: global trends, socio-demographic disparities, and future projections.

Liang Luo, Xīn Gào, Junting Yang, Xuewu Zhang, Zhike Liu, Chun Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Liang LuoDepartment of Chinese Medicine, The People's Hospital of Yubei District of Chongqing, Chongqing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-0231-8798
Xīn GàoDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0003-0108-6961
Junting YangDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Xuewu ZhangDepartment of Rheumatology and Immunology, Peking University People's Hospital, Beijing, China.
Zhike LiuDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-3232-8196
Chun LiDepartment of Rheumatology and Immunology, Peking University People's Hospital, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7981-7184

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMusculoskeletal (MSK) disorders are a leading cause of disability worldwide, particularly prevalent among women of childbearing age (WCBA). Our aim is to comprehensively assess the global, regional, and national burden of MSK disorders in WCBA, and examine the burden of MSK disorders among WCBA at varying levels of the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), then to project the burden of these disorders through to 2045.

methodsThis study utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 project, focusing on MSK disorders among WCBA (15-49 years). Age-standardized rate was calculated using the World Standard Population proportions. Descriptive analysis was conducted at global, regional, and national levels. SDI associations were explored using smoothing spline models. Projections to 2045 employed age-period-cohort models using R software.

resultsIn 2021, the estimated global age-standardized incidence, prevalence, deaths, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived with Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) rates per 100 000 population of MSK disorders in WCBA were 4933.9 (95% UI 3683.7-6454.4), 20145.9 (17 082.6-23 564.4), 0.7 (0.6-0.8), 40.7 (34.1-45.7), 2090.4 (1414.8-2896.2), and 2131.1 (1455.8-2936.8), respectively. From 1990 to 2021, a total of 183 countries exhibited an increase in prevalence rate and 166 countries showed an upward trend in DALYs rate. Between 1990 and 2021, there was a positive association between the SDI and age-standardized DALYs rate for MSK disorders in WCBA, both globally and regionally. By 2045, the age-standardized number of DALYs for MSK disorders in WCBA is expected to reach 48.8 million, with an age-standardized DALYs rate of 2160 per 100,000 population.

conclusionThe burden of MSK disorders among WCBA is already substantial and is expected to increase further in the future. Despite the observed decline in age-standardized incidence rate of MSK disorders among WCBA in half of the regions and countries globally, the age-standardized prevalence and DALYs rates have shown an adverse increasing trend. By 2045, the global number of DALYs for MSK disorders in WCBA is projected to exceed 48 million. To mitigate the future burden of MSK disorders in WCBA, stratified and targeted healthcare strategies are essential to improve early diagnosis and treatment.

Indexed as

Musculoskeletal DiseasesAdolescentAdultDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleForecastingGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMiddle AgedPrevalenceSocioeconomic FactorsYoung AdultDisease burdenmusculoskeletal disordersprojectionSocio-Demographic Indexwomen of childbearing age

Identifiers

PMID40684443
PMCPMC12278454

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.