Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40683899›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Lithium-ion battery recycling relieves the threat to material scarcity amid China's electric vehicle ambitions.

Bin Zhang, Qingyao Xin, Siyuan Chen, Bo Wang, Hao Li, Zhaohua Wang, Prateek Bansal

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Bin ZhangSchool of Management, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0633-2930
Qingyao XinSchool of Management, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China. xinqingyao123@163.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5275-8655
Siyuan ChenSchool of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, China.
Bo WangSchool of Management, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9245-1006
Hao LiCollege of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, China.
Zhaohua WangSchool of Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China. wangzhaohua@bit.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6673-4037
Prateek BansalDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore. prateekb@nus.edu.sg.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6851-8461

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 72104021National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 72140002National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 72141302National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 72174023National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 72222017National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 72243001National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 72321002
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The electric automotive transition is crucial for achieving carbon neutrality, especially in emerging economies like China. However, the scarcity of critical materials in lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) challenges electric vehicle (EV) deployment targets. Our work delivers a comprehensive framework of EV battery recycling, considering resource compensation, environmental performance, geospatial optimization, and cost feasibility of closed-loop LIB recycling under China's carbon neutrality. Our findings show that meeting EV deployment targets will widen the supply-demand gap, with cobalt and manganese demand exceeding 2022 production levels by 54-fold and 116-fold, respectively. Battery recycling is crucial for mitigating material scarcity, necessitating a minimum 84% collection rate to stabilize supply by 2060. Battery recycling remains economically viable in most scenarios, generating a net profit of US$58 billion in the optimal scenario. Here, our work underscores inherent trade-offs among integrated metrics, informing battery recycling strategies to strengthen supply chain resilience and advance automotive electrification under decarbonization goals.

Identifiers

PMID40683899
PMCPMC12276248

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.