Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40683285›Full record

Trial reportThe Lancet. Infectious diseases2025

Human papillomavirus (HPV) type 16 and type 18 antibody concentrations after a single dose of bivalent HPV vaccine in girls aged 9-14 years compared with three doses of quadrivalent HPV vaccine in women aged 18-25 years in Costa Rica (PRIMAVERA): a non-randomised, open-label, immunobridging, non-inferiority trial.

Bernal Cortés, Rebeca Ocampo, Carolina Porras, Danping Liu, Mitchell H Gail, Monica S Sierra, Rolando Herrero, Douglas R Lowy, Loretto J Carvajal, Troy J Kemp and 7 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readClinical Trial, Phase IIIComparative StudyEquivalence Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03728881 (Non-Inferiority Trial Comparing Immunogenicity From 1-Dose of Bivalent HPV Vaccine in Girls to 3-Doses of Quadrivalent Vaccine in Women), which is not on this map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03728881 phase3completednot on this map

Non-Inferiority Trial Comparing Immunogenicity From 1-Dose of Bivalent HPV Vaccine in Girls to 3-Doses of Quadrivalent Vaccine in Women: The PRIMAVERA-ESCUDDO Trial ("Puente de Respuesta Inmunológica Para Mejorar el Acceso a Vacunas y Erradicar el Cancer")

TypeinterventionalSponsorNational Cancer Institute (NCI)Ran2019 to 2024Enrolled1,240ConditionsHuman Papillomavirus-Related Cervical CarcinomaArmsQuadrivalent Human Papillomavirus (types 6, 11, 16, 18) Recombinant Vaccine, Recombinant Human Papillomavirus Bivalent Vaccine
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Guideline
  2. [Vaccine prevention of HPV-associated diseases].Dermatologie (Heidelberg, Germany) · 2026
    Review
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Bernal CortésAgencia Costarricense de Investigaciones Biomédicas (ACIB-FUNIN), San José, Costa Rica.
Rebeca OcampoAgencia Costarricense de Investigaciones Biomédicas (ACIB-FUNIN), San José, Costa Rica.
Carolina PorrasAgencia Costarricense de Investigaciones Biomédicas (ACIB-FUNIN), San José, Costa Rica.
Danping LiuDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
Mitchell H GailDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
Monica S SierraDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
Rolando HerreroAgencia Costarricense de Investigaciones Biomédicas (ACIB-FUNIN), San José, Costa Rica.
Douglas R LowyCenter for Cancer Research, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Loretto J CarvajalAgencia Costarricense de Investigaciones Biomédicas (ACIB-FUNIN), San José, Costa Rica.
Troy J KempFrederick National Laboratory, Frederick, MD, USA.
Romain FantinAgencia Costarricense de Investigaciones Biomédicas (ACIB-FUNIN), San José, Costa Rica.
John SchusslerInformation Management Services, Silver Spring, MD, USA.
Allan HildesheimAgencia Costarricense de Investigaciones Biomédicas (ACIB-FUNIN), San José, Costa Rica.
Joshua N SampsonDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
Ligia A PintoFrederick National Laboratory, Frederick, MD, USA.
John T SchillerCenter for Cancer Research, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Aimée R KreimerDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA. Electronic address: kreimera@mail.nih.gov.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn 2022, WHO recommended single-dose human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination as an alternative schedule to multidose regimens. To provide evidence to support approval of a single-dose indication for the AS04-adjuvanted bivalent HPV vaccine (Cervarix, GlaxoSmithKline), we investigated whether the immune response to a single dose of the bivalent vaccine in girls aged 9-14 years was non-inferior to the immune response to three doses of the quadrivalent HPV vaccine (Gardasil-4, Merck) in women aged 18-25 years, a dose and population combination with demonstrated efficacy.

methodsThis non-randomised, open-label, immunobridging trial enrolled girls aged 9-14 years and women aged 18-25 years in Guanacaste Province, Costa Rica. Healthy girls aged 9-14 years received one dose of bivalent HPV vaccine, whereas healthy women aged 18-25 years received three doses of quadrivalent HPV vaccine at 0, 2, and 6 months. The primary endpoint was geometric mean concentrations (GMCs) of HPV-specific serum antibodies measured by a validated virus-like-particle-based ELISA assay at 36 months. The per-protocol cohort included participants who received the correct number of doses within the predefined vaccination windows, had blood collected at the 36-month study visit for the final analysis, were seronegative at baseline for the specified HPV type, and did not receive additional HPV vaccine doses outside the study. Non-inferiority was declared when the lower bound of the 96% CI for the GMC ratio was greater than or equal to 0·67 for HPV-16 and HPV-18. Seropositivity was a secondary objective. Safety was analysed in the total vaccinated population. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03728881, and is complete.

findingsBetween April 1 and Aug 16, 2019, 620 girls and 620 women were enrolled and received their first HPV vaccination. After exclusions, 539 girls and 366 women were HPV-16 seronegative at enrolment and were included in the HPV-16 per-protocol cohort; 523 girls and 373 women were HPV-18 seronegative at enrolment and were included in the HPV-18 per-protocol cohort. At 36 months, the HPV-16 GMC was 21·4 international units (IU)/mL (95% CI 19·7-23·3) in girls in the single-dose bivalent vaccine group and 42·9 IU/mL (95% CI 38·9-47·3) in women in the three-dose quadrivalent vaccine group, resulting in a GMC ratio of 0·50 (96% CI 0·44-0·57); the HPV-18 GMC was 8·0 IU/mL (95% CI 7·4-8·8) in girls in the single-dose bivalent vaccine group and 7·2 IU/mL (95% CI 6·4-8·1) in women in the three-dose quadrivalent vaccine group, resulting in a GMC ratio of 1·11 (96% CI 0·95-1·29). At 36 months, 538 (99·8%, 95% CI 99·1-100) of 539 girls in the single-dose bivalent vaccine group were seropositive for HPV-16 compared with 366 (100%, 99·2-100) of 366 women in the three-dose quadrivalent vaccine group (p=1·00). The proportion of participants who were seropositive for HPV-18 was higher in the single-dose bivalent vaccine group (517 [98·9%, 95% CI 97·6-99·5] of 523 girls) than in the three-dose quadrivalent vaccine group (358 [96·0%, 93·6-97·6] of 373 women; p=0·0065). Two serious adverse events were reported in 620 girls and 13 serious adverse events were reported in 620 women; all serious adverse events were deemed to be unrelated to HPV vaccination.

interpretationNon-inferior antibody responses for the single-dose bivalent HPV vaccine were seen for HPV-18 but not HPV-16, which would be insufficient evidence to motivate regulatory change, even though seropositivity approached 100% in the follow-up phase and the observed antibody concentrations were similar to protective levels seen in previous trials. Trials that directly evaluate protection afforded by single-dose HPV vaccination against persistent HPV infection will definitively address the level of protection afforded by single-dose HPV vaccination.

fundingNational Cancer Institute, Cancer Research UK, and the Gates Foundation. TRANSLATION: For the Spanish translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Indexed as

Antibodies, ViralHuman papillomavirus 16Human papillomavirus 18Human Papillomavirus Recombinant Vaccine Quadrivalent, Types 6, 11, 16, 18Papillomavirus InfectionsPapillomavirus VaccinesAdolescentAdultChildCosta RicaFemaleHuman Papillomavirus VirusesHumansImmunization ScheduleVaccinationYoung AdultAntibodies, ViralHuman Papillomavirus Recombinant Vaccine Quadrivalent, Types 6, 11, 16, 18Papillomavirus Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID40683285
PMCPMC12630073

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.