Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40681759›Full record

ReviewNature reviews. Gastroenterology & hepatology2025

The global burden of inflammatory bowel disease: from 2025 to 2045.

Gilaad G Kaplan

Registry-linked trialAbstract readReview
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Review in Nature reviews. Gastroenterology & hepatology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07647640 (Prospective Evaluation of Flare Detection in IBD With Digital Biomarkers), which is not on this map. Cited by 67 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
67citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07647640 not yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Prospective Evaluation of Flare Detection in IBD With Digital Biomarkers: Bring Your Own Device Study

TypeobservationalSponsorMaastricht University Medical CenterRan2026 to 2027Enrolled600ConditionsInflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD), Ulcerative Colitis (UC), Crohn Disease (CD)ArmsWearing their own wearable device.
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

67 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Trial
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  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Observational
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  14. Global burden of inflammatory bowel disease in Asia, 1990-2023: A global burden of disease study 2023.Saudi journal of gastroenterology : official journal of the Saudi Gastroenterology Association · 2026
    Article
  15. Hesperetin mitigates IBD-associated bone loss viaJournal of orthopaedic translation · 2026
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. GPR15-guided CD8Nature · 2026
    Article

7 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Gilaad G KaplanUniversity of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada. ggkaplan@ucalgary.ca.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2719-0556

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is a global condition that progresses through four epidemiologic stages: emergence, acceleration in incidence, compounding prevalence and prevalence equilibrium. Early industrialized countries are currently in the compounding prevalence stage before transitioning to the prevalence equilibrium stage, with >1% of their populations expected to live with IBD within the next decade. Prevalence equilibrium can be modelled using a health-illness-death compartment framework and partial differential equations to predict prevalence to 2045. Meanwhile, newly industrialized countries are projected to shift from accelerated incidence with low prevalence to compounding prevalence over the next two decades. This Perspective explores the global evolution of IBD through these epidemiologic stages, presenting a framework for disease prevention and innovative health-care strategies to address the critical challenges the global IBD community will face over the next 20 years.

Indexed as

Global HealthInflammatory Bowel DiseasesCost of IllnessGlobal Burden of DiseaseHumansIncidencePrevalence

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.