Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40681500›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Developing serum proteomics based prediction models of disease progression in ADPKD.

Hande Ö Aydogan Balaban, Sita Arjune, Franziska Grundmann, Jan-Wilm Lackmann, Thomas Rauen, Philipp Antczak, Roman-Ulrich Müller

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Evolution of Clinical Trial Design in ADPKD.Kidney international reports · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Hande Ö Aydogan Balaban *Department II of Internal Medicine, University of Cologne, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, Kerpener Str. 62, 50937, Cologne, Germany.
Sita Arjune *Department II of Internal Medicine, University of Cologne, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, Kerpener Str. 62, 50937, Cologne, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6121-4614
Franziska GrundmannDepartment II of Internal Medicine, University of Cologne, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, Kerpener Str. 62, 50937, Cologne, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5766-7477
Jan-Wilm LackmannCologne Excellence Cluster on Cellular Stress Responses in Aging-Associated Diseases (CECAD), University of Cologne and University Hospital Cologne, Joseph-Stelzmann-Str. 26, 50931, Cologne, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8182-8034
Thomas RauenDepartment of Nephrology and Clinical Immunology, RWTH Aachen University Hospital, Pauwelsstraße 30, 52074, Aachen, Germany.
Philipp AntczakDepartment II of Internal Medicine, University of Cologne, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, Kerpener Str. 62, 50937, Cologne, Germany. philipp.antczak@uk-koeln.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9600-7757
Roman-Ulrich MüllerDepartment II of Internal Medicine, University of Cologne, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, Kerpener Str. 62, 50937, Cologne, Germany. roman-ulrich.mueller@uk-koeln.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6910-0745

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease is the most common genetic cause of kidney failure. Outcome prediction is essential to guide therapeutic decisions. However, currently available models are of limited accuracy. We aimed to examine the potential of serum proteomics for improved risk stratification. Here we show that 29 proteins are significantly associated with yearly kidney function decline. Functional enrichment on these 29 proteins reveals GO:BP terms related to immune response, lipoproteins and metabolic processes. A comparison to an Immunoglobulin A nephropathy cohort provides information regarding the eGFR-dependency and disease specificity of these proteins. The final outcome prediction model (adjusted R² 0.31) contains six proteins, namely Endothelial Plasminogen Activator Inhibitor (SERPINF1), Glutathione Peroxidase 3 (GPX3), Afamin (AFM), FERM Domain Containing Kindlin-3 (FERMT3), Complement Factor H Related 1 (CFHR1), and Retinoic Acid Receptor Responder 2 (RARRES2), the predictive value of which is independent from the clinical and imaging parameters currently used in clinical care. The validation of these models in different cohorts indicates the accuracy of the models. It will now be important to move towards targeted validation in a prospective study.

Indexed as

Blood ProteinsPolycystic Kidney, Autosomal DominantProteomicsAdultAgedCluster AnalysisDisease ProgressionFemaleGlomerular Filtration RateHumansMaleMiddle AgedBlood Proteins

Identifiers

PMID40681500
PMCPMC12274525

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.