Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40679745›Full record

ArticleJournal of autism and developmental disorders2025

Placebo Effect in Clinical Trials in Autism: Experience from a Pregnenolone Treatment Study.

Joseph C McGrath, Jared Gong, John P Hegarty, Lawrence K Fung, Mirko Uljarevic, Antonio Y Hardan

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Journal of autism and developmental disorders, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Joseph C McGrathDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA. joemcgrath@utexas.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0003-8864-3253
Jared GongDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
John P HegartyDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Lawrence K FungDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Mirko UljarevicDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Antonio Y HardanDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.

Funding

Simons Foundation Autism Research Initiative 345949
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThe placebo effect is a significant limitation in subjective report, particularly when using informant-based outcome measures. In autism spectrum disorder (ASD), this effect is particularly complex due to high expectations for positive treatment outcomes. Therefore, interventional research in ASD needs to account for and remediate the placebo response.

methodsThis preliminary pilot report examines placebo effect in a single-blind, two-week placebo lead-in that preceded the double-blind phase of a randomized controlled trial. The trial assessed pregnenolone, an endogenous neurosteroid, for reducing irritability in adolescents and young adults (ages 14-25) with ASD. The Aberrant Behaviors Checklist (ABC) irritability subscale (ABC-I) was the primary outcome measure used to identify correlates of the placebo effect (IQ, age, sex, and baseline symptom severity). Paired, 2-tailed t-tests compared outcome measures at baseline and following the lead-in.

resultsTwenty-five participants (23 males, 2 females; mean age 18.5 ± 3.1 years) have completed the trial to date. The two-week lead-in resulted in a 30.2% decrease in irritability symptoms (t(24) = 5.090(24), p < 0.001; Cohen's d = 1.018) across all participants. The remaining ABC subscales also decreased significantly. The magnitude of change in ABC-I was correlated (r

conclusionFindings from this preliminary pilot trial provide evidence of a significant placebo effect in a clinical trial for ASD, further highlighting the challenges that this phenomenon presents for interventional research. A single-blind placebo lead-in within ASD clinical trials is a recommended approach to both account and mitigate for the placebo effect.

Indexed as

Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD)Clinical TrialsIrritabilityPlacebo EffectPlacebo Lead-InPregnenolone

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.