Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40678646›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in public health2025

Global, regional and national burdens of otitis media in children and adolescents from 1990 to 2021 and its predictions to 2040.

Ru Chen, Jing Deng, Yao Sun, Dongxun Sun, Haibin Lu, Xinfang Jiao, Feng Zhu, Liangjie Lu, Guoqi Sima

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Ru ChenDepartment of Otolaryngology, The First Hospital of Jiaxing, The Affiliated Hospital of Jiaxing University, Jiaxing, China.
Jing DengDepartment of Otolaryngology, The First Hospital of Jiaxing, The Affiliated Hospital of Jiaxing University, Jiaxing, China.
Yao SunDepartment of Otolaryngology, The First Hospital of Jiaxing, The Affiliated Hospital of Jiaxing University, Jiaxing, China.
Dongxun SunDepartment of Otolaryngology, The First Hospital of Jiaxing, The Affiliated Hospital of Jiaxing University, Jiaxing, China.
Haibin LuDepartment of Otolaryngology, The First Hospital of Jiaxing, The Affiliated Hospital of Jiaxing University, Jiaxing, China.
Xinfang JiaoDepartment of Otolaryngology, The First Hospital of Jiaxing, The Affiliated Hospital of Jiaxing University, Jiaxing, China.
Feng ZhuDepartment of Otolaryngology, The First Hospital of Jiaxing, The Affiliated Hospital of Jiaxing University, Jiaxing, China.
Liangjie LuDepartment of Otolaryngology, The First Hospital of Jiaxing, The Affiliated Hospital of Jiaxing University, Jiaxing, China.
Guoqi SimaDepartment of Otolaryngology, The First Hospital of Jiaxing, The Affiliated Hospital of Jiaxing University, Jiaxing, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Otitis media (OM), including acute OM, chronic OM, and OM with effusion, is associated with varying degrees of hearing impairment. Children and adolescents (CAAs) are particularly vulnerable to OM. However, epidemiological data on OM in CAAs is relatively scarce. This study investigates the global, regional, and national burden of OM in CAAs from 1990 to 2021, with projections extending to 2040. Methods: Data were extracted from Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) 2021 on incidence, prevalence, deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Trends were evaluated using the metric of estimated annual percentage change (EAPC). Subgroup analyses were conducted according to socio-demographic index (SDI), and age. Additionally, projections were estimated for 2040 using the Nordpred model. Results: Globally, the rates with their 95% uncertainty intervals (UI) in 2021 were 12473.66 (7287.91-19931.88) for incidence, 2438.73 (1918.03-3055.21) for prevalence, 0.0095 (0.0022-0.0320) for deaths, and 49.33 (27.68-78.84) for DALYs. From 1990 to 2021, the EAPC and its 95% UI of incidence rate increased by 0.13 (0.11-0.16), while EAPC of deaths -3.79 (-4.07 to -3.52), prevalence -0.08 (-0.09 to -0.07), and DALYs -0.2 (-0.23 to -0.17) decreased. The aforementioned indicators are negatively correlated with the SDI. Regionally, both mortality rates and DALYs significantly decrease with increasing SDI. Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia have high levels of incidence and prevalence. At the national level, countries with a high burden of OM are primarily concentrated in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. For example: Pakistan, India, Ethiopia, Kenya, Nepal, Bangladesh, Somalia, South Sudan, Mozambique, Burundi, and Madagascar. From 2022 to 2040, the incidence rate, prevalence, and DALYs of OM are expected to show a downward trend. However, the mortality rate may slightly increase. Conclusion: From 1990 to 2021, there has been some progress in the management of OM. However, the incidence in CAAs has increased. Epidemiological data vary across different regions and countries, with regions and countries with lower SDI typically experiencing a heavier burden. It is necessary to implement dynamic monitoring of OM in CAAs and develop strategies to mitigate the future burden of this disease.

Indexed as

Cost of IllnessGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthOtitis MediaAdolescentChildChild, PreschoolDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleForecastingHumansIncidenceInfantMalePrevalenceQuality-Adjusted Life Yearschildren and adolescentsDALYsglobal burden of diseaseincidenceotitis media

Identifiers

PMID40678646
PMCPMC12267207

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LicenceCC BY
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.