Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40677930›Full record

ArticleBiometrika2025

A general form of covariate adjustment in clinical trials under covariate-adaptive randomization.

Marlena S Bannick, Jun Shao, Jingyi Liu, Yu Du, Yanyao Yi, Ting Ye

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biometrika, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. COADVISE: covariate adjustment with variable selection in randomized controlled trials.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society) · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Marlena S BannickDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Washington, 3980 15th Avenue NE, Box 351617, Seattle, Washington 698195, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6279-5978
Jun ShaoDepartment of Statistics, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 1300 University Avenue, Madison, Wisconsin 653706, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6239-4258
Jingyi LiuGlobal Statistical Sciences, Eli Lilly and Company, 839 South Delaware Street, Indianapolis, Indiana 46285, USA.
Yu DuGlobal Statistical Sciences, Eli Lilly and Company, 839 South Delaware Street, Indianapolis, Indiana 46285, USA.
Yanyao YiGlobal Statistical Sciences, Eli Lilly and Company, 839 South Delaware Street, Indianapolis, Indiana 46285, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1540-1862
Ting YeDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Washington, 3980 15th Avenue NE, Box 351617, Seattle, Washington 698195, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6009-641X

Funding

SDMC: HPTN 084 Pregnancy SupplementUM1AI068617 · NIAID · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI Elizabeth Renata Brown, Deborah J Donnell · 2011 to 2026
$204.9M
NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068617
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In randomized clinical trials, adjusting for baseline covariates can improve credibility and efficiency for demonstrating and quantifying treatment effects. This article studies the augmented inverse propensity weighted estimator, which is a general form of covariate adjustment that uses linear, generalized linear and nonparametric or machine learning models for the conditional mean of the response given covariates. Under covariate-adaptive randomization, we establish general theorems that show a complete picture of the asymptotic normality, efficiency gain and applicability of augmented inverse propensity weighted estimators. In particular, we provide for the first time a rigorous theoretical justification of using machine learning methods with cross-fitting for dependent data under covariate-adaptive randomization. Based on the general theorems, we offer insights on the conditions for guaranteed efficiency gain and universal applicability under different randomization schemes, which also motivate a joint calibration strategy using some constructed covariates after applying augmented inverse propensity weighted estimators.

Indexed as

AugmentationCovariate-adaptive randomizationG-computationModel-assisted inferenceMultiple treatment armsNonlinear adjustment

Identifiers

PMID40677930
PMCPMC12264724

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.