Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40676602›Full record

SynthesisBMC medical research methodology2025

Reflections on dynamic prediction of Alzheimer's disease: advancements in modeling longitudinal outcomes and time-to-event data.

Durong Chen, Meiling Zhang, Hongjuan Han, Yalu Wen, Hongmei Yu

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMC medical research methodology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Durong ChenSchool of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, China.
Meiling ZhangAcademy of Medical Sciences, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, China.
Hongjuan HanSchool of Basic Medical Sciences, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, China.
Yalu WenDepartment of Statistics, University of Auckland, Auckland, 1010, New Zealand.
Hongmei YuSchool of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, China. yu@sxmu.edu.cn.

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 82173632National Natural Science Foundation of China 82273742Natural Science Foundation of Shanxi Province 202403021221161
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIndividualized prediction of health outcomes supports clinical medicine and decision making. Our primary objective was to offer a comprehensive survey of methods for the dynamic prediction of Alzheimer's disease (AD), encompassing both conventional statistical methods and deep learning techniques.

methodsArticles were sourced from PubMed, Embase and Web of Science databases using keywords related to dynamic prediction of AD. A set of criteria was developed to identify included studies. The correlation information for the construction of models was extracted.

resultsWe identified four methodological frameworks for dynamic prediction from 18 studies with two-stage model (n = 3), joint model (n = 11), landmark model (n = 2) and deep learning (n = 2). We reported and summarized the specific construction of models and their applications.

conclusionsEach framework possesses distinctive principles and attendant benefits. The dynamic prediction models excel in predicting the prognosis of individual patients in a real-time manner, surpassing the limitations of traditional baseline-only prediction models. Future work should consider various data types, complex longitudinal data, missing data, assumption violations, survival outcomes, and interpretability of models.

Indexed as

Alzheimer DiseaseDeep LearningModels, StatisticalPredictive Learning ModelsHumansPrognosisRisk AssessmentAlzheimer’s diseaseDynamic survival analysisLongitudinal dataSurvival outcome

Identifiers

PMID40676602
PMCPMC12273041

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.