Integrative radiomics of intra- and peri-tumoral features for enhanced risk prediction in thymic tumors: a multimodal analysis of tumor microenvironment contributions.

objectivesThis study aims to explore the role of intra- and peri-tumoral radiomics features in tumor risk prediction, with a particular focus on the impact of peri-tumoral characteristics on the tumor microenvironment.

methodsA total of 133 patients, including 128 with thymomas and 5 with thymic carcinomas, were ultimately enrolled in this study. Based on the high- and low-risk classification, the cohort was divided into a training set (n = 93) and a testing set (n = 40) for subsequent analysis.Based on imaging data from these 133 patients, multiple radiomics prediction models integrating intra-tumoral and peritumoral features were developed. The data were sourced from patients treated at the Affiliated Hospital of Guangdong Medical University between 2015 and 2023, with all imaging obtained through preoperative CT scans. Radiomics feature extraction involved three primary categories: first-order features, shape features, and high-order features. Initially, the tumor's region of interest (ROI) was manually delineated using ITK-SNAP software. A custom Python algorithm was then used to automatically expand the peri-tumoral area, extracting features within 1 mm, 2 mm, and 3 mm zones surrounding the tumor. Additionally, considering the multimodal nature of the imaging data, image fusion techniques were incorporated to further enhance the model's ability to capture the tumor microenvironment. To build the radiomics models, selected features were first standardized using z-scores. Initial feature selection was performed using a t-test (p < 0.05), followed by Spearman correlation analysis to remove redundancy by retaining only one feature from each pair with a correlation coefficient ≥ 0.90. Subsequently, hierarchical clustering and the LASSO algorithm were applied to identify the most predictive features. These selected features were then used to train machine learning models, which were optimized on the training dataset and assessed for predictive performance. To further evaluate the effectiveness of these models, various statistical methods were applied, including DeLong's test, NRI, and IDI, to compare predictive differences among models. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was also conducted to assess the clinical applicability of the models.

resultsThe results indicate that the IntraPeri1mm model performed the best, achieving an AUC of 0.837, with sensitivity and specificity at 0.846 and 0.84, respectively, significantly outperforming other models. SHAP value analysis identified several key features, such as peri_log_sigma_2_0_mm 3D_firstorder RootMeanSquared and intra_wavelet_LLL_firstorder Skewness, which made substantial contributions to the model's predictive accuracy. NRI and IDI analyses further confirmed the model's superior clinical applicability, and the DCA curve demonstrated robust performance across different thresholds. DeLong's test highlighted the statistical significance of the IntraPeri1mm model, underscoring its potential utility in radiomics research.

conclusionsOverall, this study provides a new perspective on tumor risk assessment, highlighting the importance of peri-tumoral features in the analysis of the tumor microenvironment. It aims to offer valuable insights for the development of personalized treatment plans. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: Not applicable.