Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40670333›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

The longest-lasting 2023 western North American heat wave was fueled by the record-warm Atlantic Ocean.

Hosmay Lopez, Sang-Ki Lee, Robert West, Dongmin Kim, Liwei Jia

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Hosmay LopezAtlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, NOAA, Miami, FL, USA. Hosmay.Lopez@noaa.gov.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8422-8699
Sang-Ki LeeAtlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, NOAA, Miami, FL, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4047-3545
Robert WestCooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6979-7300
Dongmin KimCooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1465-2945
Liwei JiaGeophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Princeton, NJ, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

According to the World Meteorological Organization, 2023 was ranked as the second warmest year in the global surface temperature record since 1850, setting warm surface temperature records over more than 20% of the global land surface. In particular, the southwestern United States (US) and Northern Mexico experienced their longest stretch of record-breaking heat wave, affecting over 100 million people, causing over 200 deaths, and $14.5 billion in economic loss. Here we show that the 2023 heat wave event was linked to a strong anticyclonic blocking pattern that persisted for more than six weeks across the western US. Regression analysis and atmospheric model simulations suggest that the anticyclonic pattern was ultimately forced by the extremely warm sea surface temperature in the Atlantic. The combination of a warm Atlantic and a developing Pacific El Niño significantly amplified regional heat waves, doubling their number, tripling their days, and increasing their duration by about 50%.

Identifiers

PMID40670333
PMCPMC12267422

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.