Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40661738›Full record

Observational studyFrontiers in endocrinology2025

Non-linear association between low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and risk of prediabetes: a retrospective cohort study based on Chinese adults.

Long He, Yan Zhang, Wei Sha

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Frontiers in endocrinology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Long He *Organ Transplant Center, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command, Shenyang, China.
Yan Zhang *Organ Transplant Center, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command, Shenyang, China.
Wei ShaDepartment of Urology, Xuyi Clinical College, Medical College of Yangzhou University, Huaian, Jiangsu, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The pathogenesis of prediabetes remains complex, particularly regarding the interactions between lipid metabolism disorders and glucose metabolism abnormalities, which warrant in-depth exploration. Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is an important risk factor for atherosclerosis and cardiovascular disease. However, the relationship between LDL-C and prediabetes has been less extensively studied. Therefore, we conducted a retrospective cohort study to investigate this association. Methods: This secondary retrospective cohort study utilized data from 100,608 Chinese adults. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine the relationship between LDL-C and prediabetes risk. Restricted cubic spline regression and smooth curve fitting were used to explore the non-linear relationship between LDL-C and prediabetes. A two-piecewise Cox proportional hazards regression model identified inflection points. In addition, a series of subgroup and sensitivity analyses were performed to confirm the robustness of our results. Results: After adjusting for confounding covariates, LDL-C was positively associated with prediabetes (HR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.40-1.58, p < 0.0001). The two-piecewise Cox model identified an inflection point of 2.19 for LDL-C (p < 0.001 for log-likelihood ratio test). When LDL-C ≤ 2.19, LDL-C was positively associated with the risk of prediabetes (HR: 2.02, 95% CI: 1.71-2.36, p < 0.0001). In contrast, when LDL-C > 2.19, LDL-C was associated with a lower risk of prediabetes (HR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.39-1.59, p < 0.0001). Sensitivity and subgroup analyses confirmed the stability and consistency of this positive association in the general population. Conclusion: This study reveals a non-linear positive association between LDL-C levels and prediabetes risk in Chinese adults after adjusting for confounders. The dynamic monitoring of LDL-C levels may help identify individuals at high risk for prediabetes. Timely dietary and lifestyle modifications could potentially reduce the risk of prediabetes. These findings offer new insights for prediabetes prevention and treatment.

Indexed as

Cholesterol, LDLPrediabetic StateAdultAgedChinaFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedNonlinear DynamicsProportional Hazards ModelsRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsCholesterol, LDLcohort studylow-density lipoprotein cholesterolnonlinearlyprediabetesprevention

Identifiers

PMID40661738
PMCPMC12256220

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.