Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40660378›Full record

ArticleTropical medicine and health2025

Global, regional, and national lifetime risks of developing benign prostatic hyperplasia in men aged over 40: a population-based cross-sectional study from 1990 to 2021.

Yongming Chen, Yuhao Li, Lingfeng Li, Miao Wang, Zhengtong Lv, Shengjie Liu, Huimin Hou, Shengfeng Wang, Ming Liu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Tropical medicine and health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Yongming Chen *Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100005, People's Republic of China.
Yuhao Li *Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Epidemiology of Major Diseases, Peking University, Ministry of Education, Beijing, 100191, China.
Lingfeng Li *Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100005, People's Republic of China.
Miao WangDepartment of Urology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100005, People's Republic of China.
Zhengtong LvDepartment of Urology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100005, People's Republic of China.
Shengjie LiuDepartment of Urology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100005, People's Republic of China.
Huimin HouDepartment of Urology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100005, People's Republic of China. houhuimin0305@163.com.
Shengfeng WangDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Epidemiology of Major Diseases, Peking University, Ministry of Education, Beijing, 100191, China. wangshengfeng@bjmu.edu.cn.
Ming LiuBeijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100005, People's Republic of China. liumingbjh@126.com.

Funding

National High Level Hospital Clinical Research Funding BJ-2022-143National Key Research and Development Program of China 2022YFC3602900
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBenign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) is a prevalent condition among older men that significantly reduces quality of life. Despite its global impact, comprehensive estimates of lifetime risk remain limited. This study aims to quantify the lifetime risk of BPH at both global and regional levels using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021. MATERIALS AND

methodsWe estimated the lifetime risk of developing BPH in men aged over 40 using the "adjusted for multiple primaries (AMP)" method, derived from age-specific incidence rates provided by GBD. The analysis included data from 204 countries and regions covering the period from 1990 to 2021, stratified by age, region, and sociodemographic index (SDI).

resultsIn 2021, the global lifetime risk of BPH from age 40 to death was estimated at 27.29% (95% CI 27.26-27.31), with significant regional and socioeconomic inequalities. Eastern Europe exhibited the highest risk (37.57%), while Central Sub-Saharan Africa had the lowest (13.66%). When stratified by SDI, lifetime risk increased from 19.46% in low SDI regions to 31.51% in high-middle SDI regions but declined to 24.71% in high SDI settings. Across all regions, most cases were observed in individuals aged 50-70. Furthermore, between 1990 and 2021, the global lifetime risk of BPH showed a gradual increase. Projections indicate that this risk will remain stable over the next 30 years, with pronounced regional disparities expected to persist.

conclusionsThis study offers a comprehensive assessment of the global lifetime risk of BPH, revealing significant regional variations and age-related trends. These findings underscore the need for targeted prevention and management strategies, particularly for high-risk regions and men aged 50-70, to reduce the global burden of BPH.

Indexed as

Benign prostatic hyperplasiaGlobal burden diseaseLifetime risk

Identifiers

PMID40660378
PMCPMC12257823

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