Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40659965›Full record

ArticleEuropean spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society2025

Natural course of moderate adolescent idiopathic scoliosis: a mean 25-year follow-up study.

Masayuki Ohashi, Kei Watanabe, Toru Hirano, Kazuhiro Hasegawa, Hideki Tashi, Keitaro Minato, Yohei Shibuya, Masayuki Sato, Mio Kubota, Hiroyuki Sekimoto and 1 more

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Article in European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Masayuki OhashiDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Niigata University Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata, Japan. masayuki-ohashi@ksh.biglobe.ne.jp.
Kei WatanabeNiigata Spine Surgery Center, Niigata City, Japan.
Toru HiranoDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Niigata University Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata, Japan.
Kazuhiro HasegawaNiigata Spine Surgery Center, Niigata City, Japan.
Hideki TashiDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Niigata University Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata, Japan.
Keitaro MinatoDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Niigata University Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata, Japan.
Yohei ShibuyaDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Niigata University Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata, Japan.
Masayuki SatoDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Niigata University Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata, Japan.
Mio KubotaDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Niigata University Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata, Japan.
Hiroyuki SekimotoDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Niigata University Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata, Japan.
Hiroyuki KawashimaDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Niigata University Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThis study aimed to determine the natural course of moderate adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) in terms of curve progression and health-related quality of life (HRQOL).

methodsThe inclusion criteria were nonoperatively treated patients with AIS who had a major curve between 30° and 40° at skeletal maturity (Risser ≥ 4) and age ≥ 30 years at the survey. Fifty-eight patients (55 women) were included (follow-up rate, 37.4%). The mean age was 14.2 years at skeletal maturity and 39.9 years at the survey, with a mean 25.7-year follow-up. The HRQOL scores were compared with age- and sex-matched healthy volunteers (n = 112).

resultsThe median magnitude of the major curve was 36.5° at skeletal maturity (n = 58), 40° at the age of 18 years (n = 30), and 45.5° at the survey (n = 47) with a progression rate of 0.5°/year. The major curve at the survey was over 50° in 46.7% of patients, 82.4% of whom had already had major curves ≥ 40° at the age of 18 years. Despite their curve progression, patients demonstrated comparable HRQOL scores with control participants, except for the SRS-22 self-image score (AIS 2.8 vs. Control 3.4, p < 0.001).

conclusionModerate AIS progressed slowly but significantly throughout adulthood. Over 40% of the curves were > 50° during the mean 25-year follow-up period. Although the HRQOL scores of adult patients with moderate AIS at skeletal maturity were comparable with those of the controls, their cosmetic concerns could not be disregarded. Therefore, moderate curves, especially those ≥ 40° at the age approximately 18 years, warrant long-term follow-up.

Indexed as

Quality of LifeScoliosisAdolescentAdultDisease ProgressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleYoung AdultAdolescent idiopathic scoliosisHealth-related quality of lifeLong-term follow-upModerate curveNatural course

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.