Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40658837›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2025

Energy expenditure and obesity across the economic spectrum.

Amanda McGrosky, Amy Luke, Leonore Arab, Kweku Bedu-Addo, Alberto G Bonomi, Pascal Bovet, Soren Brage, Maciej S Buchowski, Nancy Butte, Stefan G Camps and 59 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  16. Reply to Uzoigwe: DLW is safe and validated.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  17. Doubting doubly labeled water.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  18. Beyond Obesity.Medical sciences (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

69 authors.

Amanda McGroskyDepartment of Evolutionary Anthropology, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708.ORCID 0000-0002-1110-4310
Amy LukeDepartment of Public Health Sciences, Parkinson School of Health Sciences and Public Health, Loyola University, Maywood, IL 60153.ORCID 0000-0001-8484-9439
Leonore ArabDavid Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095.
Kweku Bedu-AddoDepartment of Physiology, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, KNUST-Kumasi, Ghana.ORCID 0000-0001-5479-0691
Alberto G BonomiPhillips Research, Eindhoven 5656 AE, The Netherlands.
Pascal BovetUniversity Center for Primary Care and Public Health (Unisanté), University of Lausanne, Lausanne 1011, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-0242-4259
Soren BrageMedical Research Council Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 0QQ, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-1265-7355
Maciej S BuchowskiDivision of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN 37232.
Nancy ButteDepartment of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030.
Stefan G CampsClinical Nutrition Research Center, Singapore Institute for Clinical Sciences, Agency for Science, Technology, and Research and National University Health System, Singapore 138669, Singapore.
Regina CasperPsychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305-5723.ORCID 0000-0002-7198-8533
Daniel K CummingsEconomic Science Institute, Chapman University, Orange, CA 92866.ORCID 0000-0001-7370-3020
Sai Krupa DasJean Mayer US Department of Agriculture Human Nutrition Research Center on Aging, Tufts University, Boston, MA 02111.
Sanjoy DebCambridge Centre for Sport and Exercise Sciences, Anglia Ruskin University, Cambridge CB1 1PT, United Kingdom.
Lara R DugasDepartment of Public Health Sciences, Parkinson School of Health Sciences and Public Health, Loyola University, Maywood, IL 60153.ORCID 0000-0002-0692-8585
Ulf EkelundDepartment of Sport Medicine, Norwegian School of Sport Sciences, Oslo 0806, Norway.ORCID 0000-0003-2115-9267
Terrence ForresterSolutions for Developing Countries, University of the West Indies, Mona, Kingston 7, Jamaica.
Barry W FudgeUniversity of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QQ, United Kingdom.
Melanie GillinghamDepartment of Molecular and Medical Genetics, Oregon Health and Science University, Portland, OR 97239.ORCID 0000-0003-0897-8268
Annelies H GorisOnePlanet Research Center, Wageningen 6708 WE, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-4115-5186
Michael GurvenDepartment of Anthropology, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106.ORCID 0000-0002-5661-527X
Catherine HamblyInstitute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen AB24 3FX, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-2947-4539
Annemiek JoosenNutrition and Translational Research in Metabolism, Maastricht University Medical Centre, Maastricht 6200 MD, The Netherlands.
Peter T KatzmarzykPennington Biomedical Research Center, Baton Rouge, LA 70808.ORCID 0000-0002-9280-6022
Kitty P KempenNutrition and Translational Research in Metabolism, Maastricht University Medical Centre, Maastricht 6200 MD, The Netherlands.
William E KrausDepartment of Medicine, Duke University, Durham, NC 27710.ORCID 0000-0003-1930-9684
Wantanee KriengsinyosInstitute of Nutrition, Mahidol University, Nakhon Pathom 73170, Thailand.ORCID 0000-0001-8262-5095
Rebecca KuriyanDivision of Nutrition, St. John's Research Institute, Bangalore 560034, India.ORCID 0000-0002-3864-574X
Robert F KushnerDepartment of Medicine and Medical Education, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL 60611.
Estelle V LambertHealth through Physical Activity, Lifestyle and Sport Research Centre, Division of Exercise Science and Sports Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town 7700, South Africa.
Christel L LarssonDepartment of Food and Nutrition and Sport Science, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg 40530, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-5785-0271
William R LeonardDepartment of Medicine and Medical Education, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL 60611.ORCID 0000-0002-6233-604X
Nader LessanImperial College London Diabetes Centre, PO Box 48338, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
Marie LöfDepartment of Medicine, Karolinska Institutet 141 83, Huddinge, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-2273-4430
Corby K MartinPennington Biomedical Research Center, Baton Rouge, LA 70808.ORCID 0000-0002-8125-4015
Anine C MedinDepartment of Nutrition, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, University of Oslo, Oslo 0317, Norway.ORCID 0000-0003-4154-6264
Marian L NeuhouserDivision of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center and School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98109.
Kirsi H PietilainenHealthy Weight Hub, Helsinki University Central Hospital, Helsinki 00280, Finland.
Guy PlasquiDepartment of Nutrition and Movement Sciences, Maastricht University, Maastricht 6200 MD, The Netherlands.
Ross L PrenticeDivision of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center and School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98109.
Susan B RacetteCollege of Health Solutions, Arizona State University, Phoenix, AZ 85004.ORCID 0000-0002-6932-1887
David A RaichlenBiological Sciences and Anthropology, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089.ORCID 0000-0002-4940-7886
Eric RavussinPennington Biomedical Research Center, Baton Rouge, LA 70808.ORCID 0000-0003-2129-547X
Leanne RedmanPennington Biomedical Research Center, Baton Rouge, LA 70808.
Rebecca M ReynoldsCentre for Cardiovascular Science, Queen's Medical Research Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH16 4TJ, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-6226-8270
Eric B RimmDepartment of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA 02115.
Susan RobertsGeisel School of Medicine, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH 03755.
Asher Y RosingerDepartment of Biobehavioral Health, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802.ORCID 0000-0001-9587-1447
Mary H SamuelsDivision of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Clinical Nutrition, Oregon Health and Science University, Portland, OR 97239.
Srishti SinhaDivision of Nutrition, St. John's Research Institute, Bangalore 560034, India.ORCID 0000-0001-7000-1816
J Josh SnodgrassDepartment of Anthropology, University of Oregon, Eugene, OR 97403.ORCID 0000-0002-7021-777X
Eric SticePsychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305-5723.ORCID 0000-0002-9632-1540
Ricardo UauyInstitute of Nutrition and Food Technology, University of Chile, Santiago 7830490, Chile.
Samuel S UrlacherDepartment of Anthropology, Baylor University, Waco, TX 76798.ORCID 0000-0002-6489-4117
Jeanine A VerbuntNutrition and Translational Research in Metabolism, Maastricht University Medical Centre, Maastricht 6200 MD, The Netherlands.
Bruce WolfeOregon Health and Science University, Portland, OR 97239.ORCID 0000-0002-3373-1198
Brian WoodDepartment of Anthropology, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095.ORCID 0000-0002-8187-9429
Xueying ZhangCenter for Energy Metabolism and Reproduction, Shenzhen Institutes of Advanced Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518055, China.
Alexia J Murphy-AlfordNutritional and Health-Related Environmental Studies Section, Division of Human Health, International Atomic Energy Agency, Vienna A-1400, Austria.
Cornelia J LoechlNutritional and Health-Related Environmental Studies Section, Division of Human Health, International Atomic Energy Agency, Vienna A-1400, Austria.
Jennifer RoodPennington Biomedical Research Center, Baton Rouge, LA 70808.ORCID 0000-0001-5848-2987
Hiroyuki SagayamaFaculty of Health and Sport Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-8577, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-9040-7650
Dale A SchoellerBiotech Center and Nutritional Sciences, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI 53706.ORCID 0000-0002-5770-3853
Klaas R WesterterpNutrition and Translational Research in Metabolism, Maastricht University Medical Centre, Maastricht 6200 MD, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-0842-6850
William W WongDepartment of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030.ORCID 0000-0002-7147-5850
Yosuke YamadaDepartment of Sports and Health Sciences, Graduate School of Biomedical Engineering, Tohoku University, Sendai, Miyagi 980-8579, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-4284-6317
John R SpeakmanInstitute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen AB24 3FX, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-2457-1823
Herman PontzerDepartment of Evolutionary Anthropology, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708.ORCID 0000-0003-2397-6543
IAEA DLW Database Consortium

Funding

Oregon Clinical and Translational Research Institute - The National COVID Cohort Collaborative (N3C)UL1TR002369 · NCATS · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI Cynthia D Morris, Christopher G. Slatore · 2017 to 2026
$78.4M
Nutrition and Physical Activity Assessment Study (NPAAS)R01CA119171 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI Marian L Neuhouser · 2006 to 2026
$14.3M
Science CoreP2CHD065563 · NICHD · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI James Moody · 2015 to 2026
$5.7M
Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) CAS 153E11KYSB20190045National Science Foundation (NSF) BCS-1824466NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002369NCI NIH HHS R01 CA119171NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD065563
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Global economic development has been associated with an increased prevalence of obesity and related health problems. Increased caloric intake and reduced energy expenditure are both cited as development-related contributors to the obesity crisis, but their relative importance remains unresolved. Here, we examine energy expenditure and two measures of obesity (body fat percentage and body mass index, BMI) for 4,213 adults from 34 populations across six continents and a wide range of lifestyles and economies, including hunter-gatherer, pastoralist, farming, and industrialized populations. Economic development was positively associated with greater body mass, BMI, and body fat, but also with greater total, basal, and activity energy expenditure. Body size-adjusted total and basal energy expenditures both decreased approximately 6 to 11% with increasing economic development, but were highly variable among populations and did not correspond closely with lifestyle. Body size-adjusted total energy expenditure was negatively, but weakly, associated with measures of obesity, accounting for roughly one-tenth of the elevated body fat percentage and BMI associated with economic development. In contrast, estimated energy intake was greater in economically developed populations, and in populations with available data (n = 25), the percentage of ultraprocessed food in the diet was associated with body fat percentage, suggesting that dietary intake plays a far greater role than reduced energy expenditure in obesity related to economic development.

Indexed as

Energy MetabolismObesityAdultBody Mass IndexEnergy IntakeFemaleHumansLife StyleMaleMiddle Ageddoubly labeled waterenergy expenditureobesityphysical activity

Identifiers

PMID40658837
PMCPMC12305006

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.