Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40656874›Full record

ArticleTobacco induced diseases2025

Global burden of smoking-associated age-related macular degeneration: Spatiotemporal trends from 1990 to 2021 and projections to 2040.

Pengcheng Hu, Ming He, Junyang Cai, Zequn Lin, Shiying Zheng, Zihao Zhuang, Jialing Liu, Luoming Huang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Tobacco induced diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Pengcheng Hu *Department of Ophthalmology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Quanzhou, China.
Ming He *Department of Ophthalmology, Dazhou Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine Hospital, Dazhou, China.
Junyang CaiDepartment of Psychology, The School of Health, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.
Zequn LinDepartment of Ophthalmology and Optometry, The School of Medical Technology and Engineering, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.
Shiying ZhengDepartment of Ophthalmology and Optometry, The School of Medical Technology and Engineering, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.
Zihao ZhuangDepartment of Ophthalmology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Quanzhou, China.
Jialing LiuDepartment of Clinical Nutrition, Chongqing University Cancer Hospital, School of Medicine, Chongqing University, Chongqing, China.
Luoming HuangDepartment of Ophthalmology and Optometry, The School of Medical Technology and Engineering, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionSmoking is a major modifiable risk factor for age-related macular degeneration (AMD); however, the long-term trends and sociodemographic disparities in its global burden remain insufficiently characterized. This study aimed to assess the evolving burden of smoking-associated AMD from 1990 to 2021 and project its trajectory to 2040.

methodsData from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database were used to extract smoking-associated AMD burden, measured by years lived with disability (YLDs) and age-standardized YLDs rate (ASYLDsR). Trends were stratified by sociodemographic index (SDI) and GBD super-regions, analyzed via estimated annual percentage change (EAPC), and projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model.

resultsIn 2021, the global burden of smoking-associated AMD reached 58858 YLDs (a 47.1% increase from 1990), with an ASYLDsR of 2.47 per 100000 population. The burden in males significantly exceeded the female burden (45442 vs 13417 YLDs in 2021), with a widening disparity. YLDs peaked in the age group of 65-69 years (12528 cases), while ASYLDsR increased with age. East Asia had the highest cases (23248 cases, 39.5% of the global total), whereas Central Asia exhibited rising ASYLDsR. ARIMA projections estimated global YLDs to rise to 72574 (95% CI: 61319-83828) by 2040, with ASYLDsR declining to 1.54 per 100000 (95% CI: 0.90-2.17).

conclusionsThe burden of smoking-associated AMD demonstrates marked demographic and geographical heterogeneity. Aging populations drive rising absolute case numbers, while disparities in tobacco control policies contribute to regional divergence in ASYLDsR.

Indexed as

age-related macular degenerationARIMA modelglobal burden of diseasesmokingsociodemographic disparities

Identifiers

PMID40656874
PMCPMC12247051

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.