Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40655216›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in public health2025

Gonorrhoea among China's aging population: a 20-year nationwide analysis of epidemiological trends with 5-year projections.

Rui-Rui Peng, Zuo-Xi Chen, Juan Wu, Mei Shi, Xin Zheng, Chun-Jie Liao, Lin Zhu, Xiang-Dong Gong, Fu-Quan Long

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Rui-Rui PengDepartment of Sexually Transmitted Disease, Center of Infectious Skin Disease, Shanghai Skin Disease Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.
Zuo-Xi ChenDepartment of Sexually Transmitted Disease, Center of Infectious Skin Disease, Shanghai Skin Disease Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.
Juan WuDepartment of Sexually Transmitted Disease, Center of Infectious Skin Disease, Shanghai Skin Disease Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.
Mei ShiDepartment of Sexually Transmitted Disease, Center of Infectious Skin Disease, Shanghai Skin Disease Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.
Xin ZhengDepartment of Sexually Transmitted Disease, Center of Infectious Skin Disease, Shanghai Skin Disease Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.
Chun-Jie LiaoDepartment of Sexually Transmitted Disease, Center of Infectious Skin Disease, Shanghai Skin Disease Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.
Lin ZhuDepartment of Sexually Transmitted Disease, Center of Infectious Skin Disease, Shanghai Skin Disease Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.
Xiang-Dong GongDepartment of Sexually Transmitted Disease Epidemiology, Institute of Dermatology, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Nanjing, China.
Fu-Quan LongDepartment of Sexually Transmitted Disease, Center of Infectious Skin Disease, Shanghai Skin Disease Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Advances in longevity and pharmacological interventions have facilitated sustained sexual activity among older adults, increasing their vulnerability to sexually transmitted infections. Existing research on older adults in China has largely concentrated on HIV and syphilis, leaving critical gaps in knowledge regarding gonorrhoea. Objectives: We aimed to analyze trends in gonorrhoea incidence among Chinese older adults aged 60 years and above from 2004 to 2023, and to forecast infection trajectories over the next 5 years. Methods: Data were sourced from the National Center for STD Control and the National Bureau of Statistics Yearbooks, standardized and stratified by gender and age groups. Temporal trend analysis utilized Joinpoint regression, and prediction model was developed utilizing an optimized Long Short-Term Memory model. Results: We found: (1) An overall declining yet fluctuating incidence rate (AAPC -5.84; 95% CI, -10.13 to -1.34) with three distinct phases; (2) A consistent predominance of cases among males across all age groups; (3) Slower decline rates in older age groups, particularly among those aged ≥80 years; and (4) A significant reduction in incidence rates during the COVID-19 pandemic. We projected stabilization of overall gonorrhoea incidence rates over the next 5 years (APC -3.22; 95% CI, -6.69 to 0.37), with pronounced upward trend anticipated in the ≥80 age group (APC 20.09; 95% CI, 7.71 to 33.89). Conclusion: The study highlights persistent gonorrhoea transmission risks among older adults in China, particularly the upward trajectory in the ≥80 age group. These findings call for integrating geriatric sexual health education with strengthened monitoring systems to address evolving epidemiological patterns.

Indexed as

GonorrheaAgedAged, 80 and overChinaCOVID-19FemaleForecastingHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle Agedgonorrhoeaincidence ratelong short-term memory modelolder adultspredictionsexually transmitted infection

Identifiers

PMID40655216
PMCPMC12245903

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.