Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40654915›Full record

ArticlebioRxiv : the preprint server for biology2025

Using Bayesian priors to overcome non-identifiablility issues in Hidden Markov models.

Jan L Münch, Ralf Schmauder, Fabian Paul, Michael Habeck

Abstract readPreprint
In one paragraph

Article in bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Jan L MünchInstitute of Physiology II, Jena University Hospital, Friedrich Schiller University, Jena 07743, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-9177-6466
Ralf SchmauderInstitute of Physiology II, Jena University Hospital, Friedrich Schiller University, Jena 07743, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-8441-4264
Fabian PaulDepartment of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, University of Chicago, Chicago, United States.
Michael HabeckMicroscopic Image Analysis Group, Jena University Hospital, Friedrich Schiller University, Jena 07743, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) for biomolecules suffer from various forms of parameter non-identifiability. This poses severe challenges to both maximum likelihood and Bayesian inference. However, Bayesian inference offers effective means of overcoming these pathologies. We study the role of prior distributions in the face of practical parameter non-identifiability in Bayesian inference applied to prototypical patch clamp data of ligand-gated ion channels. We advocate the use of minimally informative priors, as they increase the accuracy and decrease the uncertainty of the inference. For complex HMMs, stronger prior assumptions are needed to render the posterior

Identifiers

PMID40654915
PMCPMC12247640

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.