Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40647413›Full record

ArticleCancers2025

Quantifying Genetic and Environmental Factors Accounting for Multistage Progression of Precancerous Lesions and Oral Cancer: Applications to Risk-Guided Prevention.

Donlagon Jumparway, Chiu-Wen Su, Amy Ming-Fang Yen, Yen-Tze Liu, Mu-Kuan Chen, Ko-Jiunn Liu, Pongdech Sarakarn, Sam Li-Sheng Chen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancers, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Genetic Variation ofInternational journal of dentistry · 2026
    Article
  2. Associations ofJournal of Cancer · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Donlagon JumparwaySchool of Dentistry, Taipei Medical University, Taipei 110, Taiwan.
Chiu-Wen SuDepartment of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei 100, Taiwan.
Amy Ming-Fang YenSchool of Oral Hygiene, College of Oral Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei 110, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0002-0628-8768
Yen-Tze LiuBig Data Center, Changhua Christian Hospital, Changhua 500, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0002-5922-2295
Mu-Kuan ChenDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Changhua Christian Hospital, Changhua 500, Taiwan.
Ko-Jiunn LiuNational Institute of Cancer Research, National Health Research Institutes, Tainan 704, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0001-6695-9159
Pongdech SarakarnFaculty of Public Health, Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen 40002, Thailand.ORCID 0000-0002-0549-9993
Sam Li-Sheng ChenSchool of Oral Hygiene, College of Oral Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei 110, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0001-9750-3015

Funding

National Health Research Institutes MOHW114-TDU-B-222-144012National Science and Technology Council 113-2118-M-038 -001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) is a multifactorial and multistage disease influenced by both genetic susceptibility and environmental risk factors. However, conventional oral cancer preventions are often based on environmental exposures but do not allow for genetic susceptibility and both factors contributing to multistage progressions. This study developed a comprehensive multistate risk model combining both types of factors.

methodsUsing data from literature, the researchers built a multistate progression model and calculated transition risks to simulate outcomes in a high-risk population, similar to those eligible for oral cancer screening in Taiwan.

resultsThe findings showed that OSCC risk varied dramatically across the population, ranging from 362 to over 24,000 cases per 100,000, depending on risk level. The integration of genetic and environmental risk factors into a multistate disease model allows for more accurate risk stratifications of precancerous and invasive OSCC. Frequent screening is more effective, notably in high-risk individuals. Incorporating a health education program provided an additional 2 to 6% reduction in incidence, particularly benefiting higher-risk groups. Simulation findings indicate that tailored screening strategies, particularly when combined with health education interventions, can significantly improve the effectiveness of oral cancer prevention.

conclusionsQuantifying the effects of genetic susceptibility and environmental factors on multistate natural history of precancerous lesions and oral cancer provides a valuable framework for developing the risk-guided policies for oral cancer prevention.

Indexed as

genetic susceptibilityMarkov simulationmultistate risk assessment modeloral cancerscreening

Identifiers

PMID40647413
PMCPMC12248456

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.