Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40645660›Full record

Trial reportJournal for immunotherapy of cancer2025

Pretreatment and on-treatment ctDNA and tissue biomarkers predict recurrence in patients with stage IIIB-D/IV melanoma treated with adjuvant immunotherapy: CheckMate 915.

Georgina V Long, Hao Tang, Keyur Desai, Sheen Wang, Michele Del Vecchio, James Larkin, Corey Ritchings, Shu-Pang Huang, Jonathan Baden, David Balli and 5 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readClinical Trial, Phase IIIMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Journal for immunotherapy of cancer, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03068455 (A Phase 3, Randomized Study of Adjuvant Immunotherapy With Nivolumab Combined With Ipilimumab Versus Nivolumab Monotherapy After Complete Resection of Stage IIIb/c/d or Stage IV Melanoma), which is not on this map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03068455 phase3completednot on this map

A Phase 3, Randomized Study of Adjuvant Immunotherapy With Nivolumab Combined With Ipilimumab Versus Nivolumab Monotherapy After Complete Resection of Stage IIIb/c/d or Stage IV Melanoma

TypeinterventionalSponsorBristol-Myers SquibbRan2017 to 2021Enrolled1,844ConditionsMelanomaArmsnivolumab, ipilimumab
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Circulating Tumor DNA as a Biomarker for Melanoma Prognosis and Therapy.American journal of clinical dermatology · 2026
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Review
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Rapidly Evolving Pre- and Post-surgical Systemic Treatment of Melanoma.American journal of clinical dermatology · 2024
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Georgina V LongMelanoma Institute Australia, The University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia Sonia.Dolfi@bms.com georgina.long@sydney.edu.au.
Hao TangBristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.
Keyur DesaiBristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.
Sheen WangBristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.
Michele Del VecchioFondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori di Milano, Milan, Italy.
James LarkinThe Royal Marsden Hospital, London, UK.
Corey RitchingsBristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.
Shu-Pang HuangBristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.
Jonathan BadenBristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9423-8305
David BalliBristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.
Han ChangBristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.
Gina FusaroBristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.
Daniel TenneyBristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.
Sonia DolfiBristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, New Jersey, USA Sonia.Dolfi@bms.com georgina.long@sydney.edu.au.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9454-4583
Jeffrey WeberNYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, New York, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4962-2957

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeCheckMate 915 (NCT03068455) compared adjuvant nivolumab monotherapy versus combination nivolumab+ipilimumab in patients with resected stage III/IV melanoma. This exploratory analysis was performed to identify biomarkers that correlate with benefit from adjuvant immunotherapy. PATIENTS AND

methods1,844 patients received nivolumab 480 mg every 4 weeks or nivolumab 240 mg every 2 weeks with ipilimumab 1 mg/kg every 6 weeks. Tumor and peripheral biomarkers were evaluated, including tumor-informed circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) at postresection baseline and on-treatment, for their association with recurrence-free survival and distant metastases-free survival.

resultsBiomarker analyses were conducted in 60-96% of the intention-to-treat population. ctDNA positivity at baseline (seen in 16.2% of patients) and on-treatment was associated with higher risk of recurrence than ctDNA negativity (HR, 1.97; 95% CI, 1.57 to 2.46), with a high specificity (87%) and modest sensitivity (39%). ctDNA status, tumor mutational burden (TMB) status (TMB < or ≥350 mutations/tumor) and interferon gamma-RNA signature score (< or ≥median) evaluated together, as well as ctDNA status with tumor CD8 or cell programmed death ligand 1 expression, were more predictive of survival than ctDNA alone. Tumor bulk RNA-seq expression patterns identified gene expression at baseline associated with recurrence.

conclusionsThis study represents the largest assessment of ctDNA and other baseline tumor and peripheral biomarkers for predicting recurrence-free survival in patients with resected melanoma receiving adjuvant immunotherapy. ctDNA alone and in combination with more established biomarkers predicted recurrence-free and distant metastasis-free survival and has potential utility for assessing and monitoring the risk of recurrence in patients with resected melanoma treated with immunotherapy in the adjuvant setting. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03068455.

Indexed as

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNAImmunotherapyMelanomaNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalSkin NeoplasmsAdultAgedChemotherapy, AdjuvantFemaleHumansIpilimumabMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm StagingBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNAIpilimumabNivolumabBiomarkerCirculating tumor DNA - ctDNAGene expression profiling - GEPImmune Checkpoint InhibitorImmunotherapy

Identifiers

PMID40645660
PMCPMC12248205

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.