Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40644552›Full record

ArticleScience advances2025

Atlantification drives recent strengthening of the Arctic overturning circulation.

Marius Årthun, Ailin Brakstad, Jakob Dörr, Helen L Johnson, Carlo Mans, Stefanie Semper, Kjetil Våge

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Marius ÅrthunGeophysical Institute, University of Bergen, and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway.ORCID 0000-0003-4500-1691
Ailin BrakstadGeophysical Institute, University of Bergen, and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway.ORCID 0000-0003-2053-7617
Jakob DörrGeophysical Institute, University of Bergen, and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-1920-9301
Helen L JohnsonDepartment of Earth Sciences, University of Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1873-2085
Carlo MansGeophysical Institute, University of Bergen, and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway.ORCID 0000-0001-5034-7238
Stefanie SemperGeophysical Institute, University of Bergen, and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway.ORCID 0000-0003-1083-4642
Kjetil VågeGeophysical Institute, University of Bergen, and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-7478-8510

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Arctic Ocean is the northern terminus of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), whose dense water masses are key to the global ocean circulation. The Arctic climate is rapidly changing, and it is not known how the Arctic Ocean overturning circulation is responding. Here, we use a high-resolution ocean reanalysis, corroborated by observations, to show that a poleward expansion of warm Atlantic waters and corresponding sea-ice loss, a phenomenon referred to as an "Atlantification" of the Arctic, has caused a poleward shift of the dense water source regions in recent decades (1993-2020). This is manifested in enhanced surface water mass transformation in the Arctic Ocean, compensating for a reduction in the Nordic Seas. The associated strengthening of the Arctic Ocean overturning circulation has ensured that the transport of dense overflow waters across the Greenland-Scotland Ridge to the AMOC's lower limb has remained stable. Our results thus provide evidence for a resilient northern overturning circulation in a warming climate.

Identifiers

PMID40644552
PMCPMC12248306

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.