Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40643870›Full record

ArticleClinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico2026

Incidence and mortality of nonmelanoma skin cancer in Europe: current trends and challenges.

Mercedes Sendín-Martín, Rocío C Bueno-Molina, Juan-Carlos Hernández-Rodríguez, Lucía Cayuela, Aurelio Cayuela, José-Juan Pereyra-Rodríguez

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Observational
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Immunohistochemical Analysis of pH-Sensitive TRPV5 in Common Skin Tumors.International journal of molecular sciences · 2026
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Review
  8. 1,24,25(OH)Scientific reports · 2025
    Article
  9. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Mercedes Sendín-MartínDepartment of Dermatology, Virgen del Rocío University Hospital, Seville, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0156-381X
Rocío C Bueno-MolinaDepartment of Dermatology, Virgen del Rocío University Hospital, Seville, Spain. rcbuenomolina@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0004-0601-0995
Juan-Carlos Hernández-RodríguezDepartment of Dermatology, Virgen del Rocío University Hospital, Seville, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2525-4069
Lucía CayuelaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Hospital Severo Ochoa, Leganés, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1524-0501
Aurelio CayuelaUnit of Public Health, Prevention and Health Promotion, South Seville Health Management Area, Seville, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4936-9402
José-Juan Pereyra-RodríguezDepartment of Dermatology, Virgen del Rocío University Hospital, Seville, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6843-5877

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeNonmelanoma skin cancer (NMSC), predominantly basal cell carcinoma (BCC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), represents the most common malignancy among fair-skinned populations. While BCC is rarely fatal, SCC contributes significantly to NMSC-related mortality. This study aimed to investigate long-term trends in NMSC incidence and SCC mortality across 28 European countries from 1992 to 2021, focusing on regional, sex-specific, and age-related variations. METHODS/PATIENTS: A longitudinal ecological analysis was conducted using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) for NMSC and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) for SCC were calculated based on the 2013 European Standard Population. Temporal trends were evaluated using joinpoint regression, and age-period-cohort (APC) models were employed to disentangle independent effects on SCC mortality.

resultsEurope registered over 27 million NMSC cases between 1992 and 2021. Overall ASIRs slightly declined, although increasing incidence was observed in individuals under 45 in Central and Northern Europe. SCC accounted for more than 570,000 deaths, with overall ASMRs decreasing-particularly among women and younger men. However, mortality rose in men aged over 75, notably in Northern and Western Europe. APC analysis indicated elevated SCC mortality in cohorts born before 1940, with a notable reversal in Northern European males born after 1960, who exhibited increasing mortality. Period effects further confirmed a recent rise in SCC mortality among these populations.

conclusionsAlthough NMSC incidence appears to be stabilizing or declining in much of Europe, increasing trends in younger individuals and rising SCC mortality in older men-especially in Northern Europe-highlight the need for age- and region-specific prevention and screening strategies. Improved cancer registry harmonization remains essential for guiding effective public health interventions.

Indexed as

Basal Cell CarcinomaCarcinoma, Squamous CellSkin NeoplasmsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overEuropeFemaleHumansIncidenceLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedMortalityYoung AdultBasal cell carcinomaEuropeIncidenceMortalityNon melanoma skin cancerSquamous cell carcinoma

Identifiers

PMID40643870
PMCPMC12790528

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.