Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40642103›Full record

ArticleThe annals of applied statistics2025

HETEROGENEOUS TREATMENT AND SPILLOVER EFFECTS UNDER CLUSTERED NETWORK INTERFERENCE.

Falco J Bargagli-Stoffi, Costanza Tortú, Laura Forastiere

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The annals of applied statistics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Estimating the total treatment effect in randomized experiments with unknown network structure.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Falco J Bargagli-StoffiDepartment of Biostatistics, University of California, Los Angeles.ORCID 0000-0002-6131-8165
Costanza TortúManagement and Healthcare Laboratory, Sant'Anna School for Advanced Studies.ORCID 0000-0003-2561-9726
Laura ForastiereDepartment of Biostatistics, Yale University.

Funding

Developing causal inference methods to evaluate and leverage spillover effects through social Interactions for designing improved HIV prevention interventionsR01MH134715 · NIMH · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI Laura Forastiere · 2023 to 2026
$3.1M
NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH134715
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The bulk of causal inference studies rule out the presence of interference between units. However, in many real-world scenarios, units are interconnected by social, physical, or virtual ties, and the effect of the treatment can spill from one unit to other connected individuals in the network. In this paper, we develop a machine learning method that uses tree-based algorithms and a Horvitz-Thompson estimator to assess the heterogeneity of treatment and spillover effects with respect to individual, neighborhood, and network characteristics in the context of clustered networks and interference within clusters. The proposed network causal tree (NCT) algorithm has several advantages. First, it allows the investigation of the heterogeneity of the treatment effect, avoiding potential bias due to the presence of interference. Second, understanding the heterogeneity of both treatment and spillover effects can guide policymakers in scaling up interventions, designing targeting strategies, and increasing cost-effectiveness. We investigate the performance of our NCT method using a Monte Carlo simulation study and illustrate its application to assess the heterogeneous effects of information sessions on the uptake of a new weather insurance policy in rural China.

Indexed as

Causal inferenceheterogeneous effectsinterferenceinterpretable machine learningsocial networks

Identifiers

PMID40642103
PMCPMC12245184

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.