Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40641434›Full record

ArticleUnited European gastroenterology journal2025

Assessment of PredictSURE IBD Assay in a Multinational Cohort of Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease.

Dahham Alsoud, Nurulamin M Noor, Lea Ann Chen, Vivian Abadom, Simon H C Anderson, Lediona Ardolli, Jordan Axelrad, Peter Bossuyt, Kenneth Croitoru, Oriana M Damas and 30 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in United European gastroenterology journal, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. How "Sure" Are We About Precision Medicine in IBD?United European gastroenterology journal · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

40 authors.

Dahham AlsoudDepartment of Chronic Diseases and Metabolism, Translational Research in Gastrointestinal Disorders, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6795-6328
Nurulamin M NoorDepartment of Medicine, University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine, Cambridge, UK.
Lea Ann ChenDivision of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Rutgers Robert Wood Johnson Medical School, New Brunswick, New Jersey, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4675-9453
Vivian AbadomDivision of Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Department of Pediatrics, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Simon H C AndersonDepartment of Gastroenterology, Guy's & St Thomas' Hospital, London, UK.
Lediona ArdolliPredictImmune Ltd, Cambridge, UK.
Jordan AxelradDivision of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, New York, USA.
Peter BossuytDepartment of Gastroenterology, Imelda GI Clinical Research Centre, Imelda General Hospital, Bonheiden, Belgium.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4027-7365
Kenneth CroitoruDivision of Gastroenterology, University of Toronto, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, Canada.
Oriana M DamasDivision of Digestive Health and Liver Diseases, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, Florida, USA.
Lily DengDepartment of Medicine, Temple University Hospital, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.
Parakkal DeepakDivision of Gastroenterology and Inflammatory Bowel Diseases Center, Washington University in Saint Louis School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Juan De La Revilla NegroDepartment of Gastroenterology, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, UK.
Shanika de SilvaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Dudley Group NHS Foundation Trust, Dudley, UK.
Marc FerranteDepartment of Chronic Diseases and Metabolism, Translational Research in Gastrointestinal Disorders, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
Karen HillsJuneberry Ltd, Cambridge, UK.
Peter M IrvingDepartment of Gastroenterology, Guy's & St Thomas' Hospital, London, UK.
James O LindsayDepartment of Gastroenterology, Barts Health NHS Trust, London, UK.
Dana J LukinDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, New York Presbyterian Hospital-Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, New York, USA.
Paul A LyonsDepartment of Medicine, University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine, Cambridge, UK.
Eoin F McKinneyDepartment of Medicine, University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine, Cambridge, UK.
Maria Oliva-HemkerDivision of Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Department of Pediatrics, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Caterina OnetoVanguard Gastroenterology Clinic, New York, New York, USA.
Roohi PatelDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Miles ParkesDepartment of Medicine, University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine, Cambridge, UK.
Lieven PouillonDepartment of Gastroenterology, Imelda GI Clinical Research Centre, Imelda General Hospital, Bonheiden, Belgium.
João SabinoDepartment of Chronic Diseases and Metabolism, Translational Research in Gastrointestinal Disorders, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
Lawrence J SaubermannDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, New York, USA.
Jenny S SaukVatche and Tamar Manoukian Division of Digestive Diseases, Department of Medicine, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Sarah SheibaniDivision of Gastrointestinal and Liver Diseases, University of Southern California Keck School of Medicine, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Kenneth G C SmithWalter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research, Parkville, Australia.
Keith S SultanDepartment of Gastroenterology, North Shore University Hospital-Long Island Jewish Medical Center, Northwell Health, Manhasset, New York, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7619-2024
Tony C ThamDivision of Gastroenterology, Ulster Hospital, Dundonald, UK.
Sare VerstocktDepartment of Chronic Diseases and Metabolism, Translational Research in Gastrointestinal Disorders, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
Raluca VrabieDivision of Gastroenterology, Northwell Long Island Jewish-Forest Hills Hospital, Queens, New York, USA.
Melissa WeidnerDivision of Pediatric Gastroenterology, Department of Pediatrics, Rutgers Robert Wood Johnson Medical School, New Brunswick, New Jersey, USA.
Huimin YuDivision of Gastroenterology and Liver Diseases, Department of Medicine, The George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Washington, DC, USA.
Bram VerstocktDepartment of Chronic Diseases and Metabolism, Translational Research in Gastrointestinal Disorders, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3898-7093
James C LeeGenetic Mechanisms of Disease Laboratory, The Francis Crick Institute, London, UK.
Séverine VermeireDepartment of Chronic Diseases and Metabolism, Translational Research in Gastrointestinal Disorders, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9942-3019

Funding

The Study of Families with Heritable Crohn's Disease to Support Rational Design of Microbiota-based TherapiesK23DK119544 · NIDDK · RUTGERS BIOMEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES · PI CHEN, LEA A · 2020 to 2024
$1.1M
The Role of Enteric Infection in Flares of Inflammatory Bowel DiseaseK23DK124570 · NIDDK · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI AXELRAD, JORDAN ERIC · 2021 to 2025
$998k
Crohnâ€s and Colitis FoundationNIDDK NIH HHS K23 DK119544NIDDK NIH HHS K23 DK124570Wellcome Trust CC2219
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsPredictSURE IBD is a prognostic blood test that classifies newly diagnosed, treatment-naïve Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD) patients into 'IBDhi' (high-risk) or 'IBDlo' (low-risk) groups (risk of future aggressive disease). We evaluated this assay in a multinational cohort and explored the effect of concomitant corticosteroids on its discrimination.

methodsOne hundred thirty-six (71 Ulcerative colitis [UC], 65 Crohn's Disease [CD]) and 41 (15 UC, 26 CD) patients with active IBD were 'unexposed' and 'exposed', respectively, to corticosteroids at baseline blood sampling. The number of treatment escalations, time to first escalation, and need for repeated escalations were compared between the biomarker subgroups. Another 20 patients (13 UC, 7 CD) were longitudinally sampled over 6 weeks after commencing corticosteroids.

resultsIn corticosteroids-naïve UC and CD patients, all bowel surgeries (n = 6) and multiple therapy escalations (n = 10) occurred in IBDhi patients. IBDhi UC patients required significantly more treatment escalations, had a shorter time to first escalation, and a greater need for multiple escalations than IBDlo patients. No statistically significant differences were observed among CD patients. In corticosteroid-exposed patients, 66.6% of 'misclassifications' were IBDlo patients who required escalations. Among corticosteroid-treated patients with longitudinal sampling, 81.3% of those classified as IBDhi before steroids switched to IBDlo during therapy.

conclusionsNo significant differences in treatment escalations were observed between biomarker-defined subgroups in CD. However, IBDhi UC patients required significantly earlier and more frequent therapy escalations, highlighting the need to further investigate PredictSURE IBD in UC. Notably, the discrimination ability of the biomarker was unreliable in patients receiving corticosteroid therapy.

Indexed as

Adrenal Cortex HormonesColitis, UlcerativeCrohn DiseaseAdultBiomarkersFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisYoung AdultAdrenal Cortex HormonesBiomarkersbiomarkerblood testscorticosteroidscrohn's diseaseinflammatory bowel diseasespersonalised managementprognosistreatmentulcerative colitis

Identifiers

PMID40641434
PMCPMC12528995

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.