ArticleBMC pediatrics2025
Fulminant necrotizing enterocolitis: clinical features and a predictive model.
Article in BMC pediatrics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
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Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed.
- Lactate, mean platelet volume, and nSOFA as combined predictors of perforated necrotizing enterocolitis and mortality in preterm infants: a retrospective cohort study.Annals of medicine · 2026Article
- Predictive value of biomarkers in neonatal necrotizing enterocolitis.Frontiers in pediatrics · 2025Review
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundTo develop and validate a nomogram model for predicting the risk of fulminant necrotizing enterocolitis (fNEC) in infants with NEC and to summarize the clinical features of fNEC.
methodsNeonates admitted to Shengjing Hospital from 1st January 2013 to 31st December 2022 with the diagnosis of NEC were randomly divided into a training set or a validation set. Independent risk factors identified by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to conduct a nomogram model for fNEC. The model was evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC), calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA) in both sets.
resultsA total of 315 neonates were included, comprising 70 cases of fNEC and 245 cases of non-fulminant NEC. Neonates with fNEC exhibited more severe symptoms, including acidosis, thrombocytopenia, absent bowel sounds, increased need for surgical intervention and significantly higher mortality. The nomogram was developed using four predictors: bloody stool, absence of bowel sounds, elevated lactate levels and pH values. The AUC of the training and validation sets were 0.939 and 0.975, respectively. Calibration curves and the DCA showed satisfactory performance.
conclusionsNeonates with fNEC exhibited more severe symptoms. Our nomogram model shows promise in assisting clinicians in predicting fNEC.
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