ArticleNature communications2025
Climate change has increased the odds of extreme regional forest fire years globally.
Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
15 citing papers in PubMed.
- Response of the surface-active beetle community (Coleoptera) to mixed-conifer forest restoration thinning and burning treatments in northern New Mexico, USA.Environmental entomology · 2026Article
- Near-term, geospatial opportunity for biomass carbon storage to address the wildfire and climate crises.Science advances · 2026Article
- Trait Shifts and Vertical Redistribution Enable Nematode-Trapping Fungi to Adapt to Fire Disturbance.Journal of fungi (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Living in the Pyrocene: Assemblage-Wide Terrestrial Vertebrate Responses to Mega-Fires in the Pantanal Wetlands.Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Fires Beyond Fire-Prone Ecosystems: The Erosion of Beech Forest.Global change biology · 2026Article
- An integrated wireless deep-UV sensing system for intelligent early fire detection.Science advances · 2026Article
- Simulated wildfire smoke particulate matter elicits STING-dependent astrocyte-mediated inflammatory signaling and neurotoxicity.Neurotoxicology · 2026Article
- Climate-driven upward spread of forest fires in European mountain regions.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Interface-Engineered Sodium Alginate-Based Fire-Suppressing Gel: Strong Rheology and Efficient Gas-Solid Flame Retardancy via N-P Coupling.Gels (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- An integrated, simulation-based framework linking satellite fire patterns and wireless sensor network planning in Tunisia.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Article
- Increasing synchronicity of global extreme fire weather.Science advances · 2026Article
- Global Inequality and Injustice in Mortality Burden from Floods and Landscape Fire-Sourced Air Pollution.Health data science · 2026Article
- The role of fire on Earth.Bioscience · 2025Review
- EcoWild: Reinforcement Learning for Energy-Aware Wildfire Detection in Remote Environments.Sensors (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Regions across the globe have experienced devastating fire years in the past decade with far-reaching impacts. Here, we examine the role of antecedent and concurrent climate variability in enabling extreme regional fire years across global forests. These extreme years commonly coincided with extreme (1-in-15-year) fire weather indices (FWI) and featured a four and five-fold increase in the number of large fires and fire carbon emissions, respectively, compared with non-extreme years. Years with such extreme FWI metrics are 88-152% more likely across global forested lands under a contemporary (2011-2040) climate compared to a quasi-preindustrial (1851-1900) climate, with the most pronounced increased risk in temperate and Amazonian forests. Our results show that human-caused climate change is raising the odds of extreme climate-driven fire years across forested regions of the globe, necessitating proactive measures to mitigate risks and adapt to extreme fire years.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.