Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40636438›Full record

ArticleCancer innovation2025

Global Trajectories of Colorectal Cancer Burden From 1990 to 2021 and Projection to 2040.

Xiaolu Chen, Xuesi Dong, Yadi Zheng, Chenran Wang, Zilin Luo, Jiaxin Xie, Zeming Guo, Xiaoyue Shi, Xinyue Zhu, Yongjie Xu and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer innovation, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Tumor tissue-associatedFrontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2026
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Xiaolu ChenOffice of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College Beijing China.
Xuesi DongOffice of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College Beijing China.
Yadi ZhengOffice of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College Beijing China.
Chenran WangOffice of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College Beijing China.
Zilin LuoOffice of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College Beijing China.
Jiaxin XieOffice of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College Beijing China.
Zeming GuoOffice of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College Beijing China.
Xiaoyue ShiOffice of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College Beijing China.
Xinyue ZhuOffice of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College Beijing China.
Yongjie XuOffice of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College Beijing China.
Wei CaoOffice of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College Beijing China.
Fei WangOffice of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College Beijing China.
Ni LiOffice of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College Beijing China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5530-7745

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: There is significant heterogeneity in patterns of colorectal cancer burden, which is still not well understood. This study examines global trajectories in the colorectal cancer burden, explores associated factors, and predicts future trends. Methods: Data on the colorectal cancer burden for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2021 were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease Study. Growth mixture models identified subgroups of age-standardized incidence and mortality rates. Eleven modifiable risk factors and four socioeconomic determinants were analyzed across the subgroups. Trends to 2040 were predicted using a Bayesian age-period-cohort model. Results: Three trajectories of colorectal cancer burden were observed: slowly increasing, rapidly increasing, and slowly decreasing age-standardized incidence rate, corresponding to stable, increasing, and decreasing mortality rate. Most countries showed slowly increasing incidence rates (49.0%, Conclusion: Global disparities in colorectal cancer burden highlight the need for targeted interventions, particularly focusing on dietary factors and health inequities.

Indexed as

colorectal cancer burdenrisk factorssocial determinantstrajectories

Identifiers

PMID40636438
PMCPMC12238727

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.