Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40635170›Full record

ArticleJournal of internal medicine2025

Overstated association between adolescent physical fitness and adulthood depression risk due to familial factors.

Marcel Ballin, Örjan Ekblom, Anna Nordström, Viktor H Ahlqvist, Peter Nordström

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of internal medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Marcel BallinDepartment of Public Health and Caring Sciences, Clinical Geriatrics, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Örjan EkblomDepartment of Physical Activity and Health, The Swedish School of Sport and Health Sciences, Stockholm, Sweden.
Anna NordströmDepartment of Medical Sciences, Rehabilitation Medicine, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Viktor H AhlqvistDepartment of Public Health and Caring Sciences, Clinical Geriatrics, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1383-3194
Peter NordströmDepartment of Public Health and Caring Sciences, Clinical Geriatrics, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2924-508X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveExamine the association between adolescent cardiorespiratory fitness and future risk of depression and dispensation of antidepressants, including the role of familial confounding.

methodsA cohort study with sibling-comparisons based on Swedish men who participated in mandatory military conscription examinations from 1972 to 1995. The exposure was cardiorespiratory fitness estimated using a maximal ergometer bicycle test. The outcomes were depression diagnosis in specialized outpatient or inpatient care and dispensation of antidepressants until 31 December 2023.

resultsA total of 1,013,885 men (mean age 18.3 years), of which 410,198 were full siblings, were followed until a median age of 56.8 years, during which 47,283 were diagnosed with depression and 237,409 were dispensed antidepressants. In cohort analysis, the highest decile of fitness had lower risks of depression (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.54, [95% confidence interval, 0.52, 0.57]) and antidepressants (HR 0.63; 0.62, 0.65) compared to the lowest decile, with differences in the standardized cumulative incidence by age 65 of -3.9% and -12.3%, respectively. In sibling-comparison analyses accounting for unobserved familial confounders, the associations attenuated for both depression (HR 0.67, 0.59-0.75; incidence difference -2.4%) and antidepressants (HR 0.76, 0.72-0.80; incidence difference -7.2%). Hypothetically shifting everyone to the highest decile of fitness was associated with a preventable fraction of 29.1% for depression and 17.8% for antidepressants in cohort analysis, which attenuated to 17.6% and 10.4% in sibling-comparisons.

conclusionsHigh levels of adolescent cardiorespiratory fitness are associated with lower risks of future depression and antidepressants, but the associations might be overstated due to familial confounding.

Indexed as

Cardiorespiratory FitnessDepressionPhysical FitnessAdolescentAdultAntidepressive AgentsCohort StudiesHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsSiblingsSwedenYoung AdultAntidepressive Agentsdepressive disordersepidemiologyphysical activitypreventionpublic health

Identifiers

PMID40635170
PMCPMC12374760

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.