Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40632842›Full record

ArticleScience advances2025

Spatiotemporal reconstruction of the North American A(H5N1) outbreak reveals successive lineage replacements by descendant reassortants.

Anthony V Signore, Jolene Giacinti, Megan E B Jones, Cassidy N G Erdelyan, Angela McLaughlin, Tamiru N Alkie, Sherri Cox, Stéphane Lair, Claire M Jardine, Brian Stevens and 31 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Counting cases, conserving species: addressing highly pathogenic avian influenza in wildlife.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Unpacking the spread of pathogens.Nature reviews. Microbiology · 2026
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

41 authors.

Anthony V SignoreNational Centre for Foreign Animal Disease, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Winnipeg, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-0664-0864
Jolene GiacintiEnvironment and Climate Change Canada, Saskatoon, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-4843-599X
Megan E B JonesCanadian Wildlife Health Cooperative, Atlantic Region, Charlottetown, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-3820-7061
Cassidy N G ErdelyanNational Centre for Foreign Animal Disease, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Winnipeg, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-8893-7804
Angela McLaughlinEnvironment and Climate Change Canada, Saskatoon, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-5606-9080
Tamiru N AlkieNational Centre for Foreign Animal Disease, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Winnipeg, Canada.
Sherri CoxCollege of Biological Science, University of Guelph, Guelph, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-6617-0975
Stéphane LairCanadian Wildlife Health Cooperative, Faculté de médecine vétérinaire, Université de Montréal, Saint-Hyacinthe, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-2029-2827
Claire M JardineCanadian Wildlife Health Cooperative, University of Guelph, Guelph, Canada.
Brian StevensCanadian Wildlife Health Cooperative, University of Guelph, Guelph, Canada.
Maria Bravo-ArayaDiagnostic Services Unit, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Calgary, Saskatoon, Canada.
Neil PopleVeterinary Diagnostic Services, Manitoba Agriculture, Winnipeg, Canada.
Margo J PybusFish and Wildlife, Alberta Environment and Protected Areas, Edmonton, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-9199-7939
Tamiko HisanagaNational Centre for Foreign Animal Disease, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Winnipeg, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-0216-6496
Wanhong XuNational Centre for Foreign Animal Disease, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Winnipeg, Canada.
Janice KoziukNational Centre for Foreign Animal Disease, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Winnipeg, Canada.ORCID 0009-0000-9924-0773
Oliver LungNational Centre for Foreign Animal Disease, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Winnipeg, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-0494-1620
Peter KruczkiewiczNational Centre for Foreign Animal Disease, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Winnipeg, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-0044-9460
Mathew FisherNational Centre for Foreign Animal Disease, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Winnipeg, Canada.ORCID 0009-0002-7622-1259
Jordan WightDepartment of Biology, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John's, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-7405-0911
Ishraq RahmanDepartment of Biology, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John's, Canada.ORCID 0009-0005-4931-2552
Kathryn E HarganDepartment of Biology, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John's, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-2232-3711
Andrew S LangDepartment of Biology, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John's, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-4510-7683
Orie HochmanNational Centre for Foreign Animal Disease, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Winnipeg, Canada.
Davor OjkicAnimal Health Laboratory, University of Guelph, Guelph, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-4429-4843
Carmencita YasonRegional Diagnostic Virology Services, Atlantic Veterinary College, University of Prince Edward Island, Charlottetown, Canada.
British Columbia Wildlife AIV Surveillance ProgramORCID 0000-0002-8081-9555
Laura BourqueCanadian Wildlife Health Cooperative, Atlantic Region, Charlottetown, Canada.
Trent K BollingerDepartment of Veterinary Pathology, Western College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Canada.
Jennifer F ProvencherEnvironment and Climate Change Canada, Ottawa, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-4972-2034
Sarah OgilvieRegional Diagnostic Virology Services, Atlantic Veterinary College, University of Prince Edward Island, Charlottetown, Canada.
Amanda ClarkDepartment of Pathology and Microbiology, Atlantic Veterinary College, University of Prince Edward Island, Charlottetown, Canada.
Robyn MacPheeRegional Diagnostic Virology Services, Atlantic Veterinary College, University of Prince Edward Island, Charlottetown, Canada.
Hazel EaglesomeNational Wildlife Centre, Caledon, Canada.
Sayrah GilbertWildlife Haven Rehabilitation Centre, Ile des Chênes, Canada.ORCID 0009-0008-2346-818X
Kelsey SaborakiWildlife Branch, Manitoba Economic Development, Investment, Trade and Natural Resources, Dauphin, Canada.ORCID 0009-0006-5403-3619
Richard DavisWildlife Branch, Manitoba Economic Development, Investment, Trade and Natural Resources, Dauphin, Canada.
Alexandra JeraoOffice of the Chief Veterinarian, Manitoba Agriculture, Winnipeg, Canada.
Matthew GinnPrince Edward Island Department of Environment, Energy and Climate Action, Charlottetown, Canada.ORCID 0009-0001-8104-4472
Catherine SoosEnvironment and Climate Change Canada, Saskatoon, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-4610-3614
Yohannes BerhaneNational Centre for Foreign Animal Disease, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Winnipeg, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-5958-3525

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The November 2021 introduction of highly pathogenic avian influenza A(H5N1) clade 2.3.4.4b into North America triggered a devastating outbreak, affecting more than 180 million domestic birds and spreading to more than 80 wildlife species across Canada and the US. From this outbreak, we have sequenced 2955 complete A(H5N1) viral genomes from samples collected in Canada and, in conjunction with previously published data, performed multifaceted phylodynamic analyses. These analyses reveal extensive diversification of A(H5N1) viruses via reassortment with low-pathogenic avian influenza viruses. We find evidence of repeated ancestral strain replacement by direct descendants, indicative of compounding viral fitness increases. Spatiotemporal modeling identified critical geographic areas facilitating transcontinental spread and demonstrated genotype-specific host dynamics, offering essential data for ongoing control and prevention strategies.

Indexed as

Disease OutbreaksInfluenza A Virus, H5N1 SubtypeInfluenza in BirdsReassortant VirusesAnimalsBirdsCanadaGenome, ViralNorth AmericaPhylogenySpatio-Temporal Analysis

Identifiers

PMID40632842
PMCPMC12239939

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.