Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40631426›Full record

ArticleAlzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association2025

Alzheimer's disease and dementia in Japan: Epidemiological trends, regional disparities, and future projections.

Deepak Kumar Behera, Dil B Rahut, Snehasish Tripathy

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
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  9. Alzheimer's disease and dementia in Japan: Epidemiological trends, regional disparities, and future projections.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Deepak Kumar BeheraEconomics and Finance Department, The Business School, RMIT University Vietnam, Ho Chi Minh, Vietnam.ORCID 0000-0001-6539-4280
Dil B RahutAsian Development Bank Institute (ADBI), Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-7505-5271
Snehasish TripathyDepartment of Dental Research Cell, Dr. D. Y. Patil Dental College and Hospital, Dr. D. Y. Patil Vidyapeeth, Pune, Maharashtra, India.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionAlzheimer's disease and other dementias (ADOD) are a growing public health concern in Japan. This study examines historical ADOD burden trends, identifies contributing risk factors, and forecasts future projections using time-series modeling.

methodsThis study uses the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2021 data to analyze ADOD trends in Japan, and assess incidence, mortality, and Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Regression analysis identifies risk factors, and an Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model is employed to forecasts the burden from 2021 to 2030.

resultsADOD cases have steadily increased, with projections indicating continued growth by 2030. Aging and life expectancy are major contributors, with urban areas like Kantō and Kansai region experiencing higher prevalence than Tōhoku and Kyūshū. High fasting plasma glucose, obesity, and smoking are significant modifiable risk factors. The ARIMA model forecasts an ongoing upward trend, highlighting a rising public health challenge. DISCUSSION: Targeted policies, early interventions, and equitable health care access are vital to mitigating Japan's growing ADOD burden. HIGHLIGHTS: Alzheimer's disease and other dementias (ADOD) are rising in Japan due to an aging population. Key risk factors include high fasting plasma glucose, obesity, and smoking. Kantō and Kansai region have higher ADOD prevalence than other region ARIMA modeling predicts a continuous increase in ADOD cases through 2030. Targeted health care policies and preventive measures are crucial to mitigate the burden.

Indexed as

Alzheimer DiseaseDementiaAgedAged, 80 and overDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleForecastingGlobal Burden of DiseaseHumansIncidenceJapanLife ExpectancyMalePrevalenceRisk Factorsaging populationAlzheimer's diseasedementia burdenforecasting moderisk factors

Identifiers

PMID40631426
PMCPMC12238829

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.