Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40629090›Full record

ArticleNature computational science2025

Investigating the volume and diversity of data needed for generalizable antibody-antigen ΔΔG prediction.

Alissa M Hummer, Constantin Schneider, Lewis Chinery, Charlotte M Deane

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature computational science, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 33 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
33citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

33 citing papers in PubMed.

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  7. Amplicon/Protein Bead Display enables quantitativebioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Alissa M HummerDepartment of Statistics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. contact@alissahummer.com.ORCID 0000-0002-3023-2588
Constantin SchneiderDepartment of Statistics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Lewis ChineryDepartment of Statistics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Charlotte M DeaneDepartment of Statistics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. deane@stats.ox.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0003-1388-2252

Funding

RCUK | Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC) BB/V509681/1RCUK | Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) EP/L016044/1RCUK | Medical Research Council (MRC) MR/N013468/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Antibody-antigen binding affinity lies at the heart of therapeutic antibody development: efficacy is guided by specific binding and control of affinity. Here we present Graphinity, an equivariant graph neural network architecture built directly from antibody-antigen structures that achieves test Pearson's correlations of up to 0.87 on experimental change in binding affinity (ΔΔG) prediction. However, our model, like previous methods, appears to be overtraining on the few hundred experimental data points available and performance is not robust to train-test cut-offs. To investigate the amount and type of data required to generalizably predict ΔΔG, we built synthetic datasets of nearly 1 million FoldX-generated and >20,000 Rosetta Flex ddG-generated ΔΔG values. Our results indicate that there are currently insufficient experimental data to accurately and robustly predict ΔΔG, with orders of magnitude more likely needed. Dataset size is not the only consideration; diversity is also an important factor for model predictiveness. These findings provide a lower bound on data requirements to inform future method development and data collection efforts.

Indexed as

AntibodiesAntigen-Antibody ReactionsAntigensAntibody AffinityHumansNeural Networks, ComputerThermodynamicsAntibodiesAntigens

Identifiers

PMID40629090
PMCPMC12374841

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.