Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40629018›Full record

ArticleNature food2025

Data-driven nitrogen management benchmarks support China's wheat self-sufficiency by 2030.

Xiaotian Mi, Gang He, Weihong Qiu, Qingsong Zhang, Yulong Yin, Jinshan Liu, Mei Shi, Zhaohui Wang, Zhenling Cui

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Article in Nature food, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Xiaotian Mi *College of Natural Resources and Environment, State Key Laboratory for Crop Stress Resistance and High-Efficiency Production, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3117-8675
Gang He *College of Natural Resources and Environment, State Key Laboratory for Crop Stress Resistance and High-Efficiency Production, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, China. hegang029@nwafu.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7185-9785
Weihong QiuCollege of Natural Resources and Environment, State Key Laboratory for Crop Stress Resistance and High-Efficiency Production, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, China.
Qingsong ZhangCollege of Resources and Environmental Sciences, National Academy of Agriculture Green Development, State Key Laboratory of Nutrient Use and Management, China Agricultural University, Beijing, China.
Yulong YinCollege of Resources and Environmental Sciences, National Academy of Agriculture Green Development, State Key Laboratory of Nutrient Use and Management, China Agricultural University, Beijing, China.
Jinshan LiuCollege of Natural Resources and Environment, State Key Laboratory for Crop Stress Resistance and High-Efficiency Production, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9268-2595
Mei ShiCollege of Natural Resources and Environment, State Key Laboratory for Crop Stress Resistance and High-Efficiency Production, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, China.
Zhaohui WangCollege of Natural Resources and Environment, State Key Laboratory for Crop Stress Resistance and High-Efficiency Production, Northwest A&F University, Yangling, China. w-zhaohui@263.net.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4412-1069
Zhenling CuiCollege of Resources and Environmental Sciences, National Academy of Agriculture Green Development, State Key Laboratory of Nutrient Use and Management, China Agricultural University, Beijing, China. cuizl@cau.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5419-3771

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Targeted improvement pathways for crop production are needed to meet growing food demand, but quantitative benchmarks are still lacking in China. Here we establish nitrogen (N) management benchmarks for wheat production at regional-to-country scales using a modified approach outlined by the EU Nitrogen Expert Panel, defined as meeting both the requirements for targeted crop N output and the threshold for N surplus. A large-scale survey of farmers shows that only 20% of China's wheat harvested area met N management benchmarks. Optimized N management, soil fertility and climatic factors account for 70% of the effect on N management benchmarks; the combination of these contributors is projected to increase China's wheat harvested area that meets N management benchmarks to 75% by 2030. With this, wheat production would increase by 12%, sufficient to achieve wheat self-sufficiency without imports. We demonstrate how N management benchmarks can be achieved under future climate change scenarios.

Indexed as

Crop ProductionNitrogenTriticumAgricultureBenchmarkingChinaClimate ChangeCrops, AgriculturalFertilizersSoilFertilizersNitrogenSoil

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.