Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40628761›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Experience-based risk taking is primarily shaped by prior learning rather than by decision-making.

Alon Erdman, Arne Gouwy, Gal Sananes, Mayan Salman, Lior Eizenstien, Shimon Eliav, Eran Eldar

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. How Outcome Framing and Feedback Influence Decision Patterns over Time.Behavioral sciences (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Alon ErdmanDepartment of Psychology, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel. alon.erdman@mail.huji.ac.il.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7626-2539
Arne GouwyDepartment of Psychology, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel.
Gal SananesDepartment of Psychology, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel.
Mayan SalmanDepartment of Psychology, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel.
Lior EizenstienDepartment of Psychology, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel.
Shimon EliavDepartment of Psychology, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel.
Eran EldarDepartment of Psychology, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8988-6124

Funding

Neurocomputational studies of mood-related momentum dynamics linking reward learning, valuation and responsivityR01MH124092 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI DOMBROVSKI, ALEXANDRE Y., ELDAR, ERAN PLAYFAIR · 2020 to 2024
$5.3M
CRCNS US-Israel Research Proposal: Computational Phenotyping of Decision Making in Adolescent PsychopathologyR01MH125564 · NIMH · PRINCETON UNIVERSITY · PI NIV, YAEL · 2020 to 2024
$1.3M
Israel Science Foundation (ISF) 1094/20NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH124092NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH125564United States-Israel Binational Science Foundation (BSF) 2019801U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | National Institutes of Health (NIH) R01MH125564
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The tendency to embrace or avoid risk varies across and within individuals, with significant consequences for economic behavior and mental health. Such variations can partially be explained by differences in the relative weights given to potential gains and losses. Applying this insight to real-life decisions, however, is complicated because such decisions are often based on prior learning experiences. Here, we ask which cognitive process-decision-making or learning-determines the weighting of gains or losses? Over 28 days, 100 participants engaged in a longitudinal decision task wherein choices were based on prior learning. Computational modeling of participants' choices revealed that changes in risk-taking are primarily explained by changes in how learning, not decisions, weight gains and losses. Moreover, inferred changes in learning manifested in participants' neural and physiological learning signals in response to outcomes. We conclude that in experience-based decisions, learning plays a primary role in governing risk-taking behavior.

Indexed as

Decision MakingLearningRisk-TakingAdolescentAdultChoice BehaviorFemaleHumansMaleYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID40628761
PMCPMC12238269

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.