Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40627242›Full record

Observational studyJournal of epidemiology and global health2025

TB Incidence Trends in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia within the GCC, EMR, and MENA Regions, to Achieve the WHO and UN's SDG End TB Strategy Targets.

Mazin Barry

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Journal of epidemiology and global health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Mazin BarryInfectious Disease Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. mbarry@ksu.edu.sa.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2274-007X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo assess the tuberculosis (TB) incidence trends, between 2000 and 2023, in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA), in comparison to that in different geopolitical regions where the KSA is commonly included within, and to determine whether the KSA achieved the World Health Organization (WHO) and the United Nations (UN) Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) End TB Strategy milestones and targets, including the reduction of the total TB incidence by 20% in 2020 compared to that of 2015.

methodsThis is a retrospective observational study on the TB incidence per 100,000 population arising in a given year as reported annually to the WHO. The data was extracted from the WHO indicator dataset. TB incidence data from the KSA, the World, the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), the Eastern Mediterranean region (EMR), and the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region were included. Descriptive analysis and chi-square test were used to compare incidence differences and their statistical significance.

resultsThe TB incidence per 100,000 population in KSA in 2023 was 8.4 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 7.6–9.3), in 2020 it was 8.7 (95% UI:7.7–9.6), in 2015 it was 12 (95% UI: 11–13), in 2000 it was 23 (95% UI: 21–26). Compared to 2023, the reduction from 2000, 2015, and 2020 were − 14.6 (63.5% p < 0.01), − 3.6 (30%), and − 0.3 (3.4%), respectively. Compared to 2015, the reduction in 2020 was − 3.3 (27.5%). For 2023, compared to the GCC countries, the KSA had the second lowest incidence after the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which was − 7.6 less than KSA (p < 0.01). The incidence in Qatar was the highest, which was + 26.6 higher than KSA (p < 0.01). Compared to the MENA and EMR, only Jordan had a lower incidence, which was − 5.0 less than KSA. Pakistan had the highest incidence rate and the highest difference from the KSA by + 268.6 (p < 0.01).

conclusionTB incidence trends are decreasing in KSA, and it is among the top three regional countries with the lowest incidence rates. Compared with 2015, KSA exceeded the 20% milestone by achieving a 27.5% reduction in 2020. The KSA is heading towards achieving the WHO and UN’s SDG End TB Strategy targets of a 50% reduction by 2025, 80% by 2030, and 90% by 2035, to fulfill the vision of a world free of TB.

Indexed as

TuberculosisAfrica, NorthernHumansIncidenceMiddle EastRetrospective StudiesSaudi ArabiaUnited NationsWorld Health OrganizationEastern Mediterranean region (EMR)End TB StrategyGulf Cooperation Council (GCC)IncidenceKingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA)Middle East and North Africa (MENA)Sustainable Development Goals (SDG)Tuberculosis (TB)

Identifiers

PMID40627242
PMCPMC12237834

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.