Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40623313›Full record

ArticleAnnals of internal medicine2025

Development and Validation of Body Mass Index-Specific Waist Circumference Thresholds in Postmenopausal Women : A Prospective Cohort Study.

Aaron K Aragaki, JoAnn E Manson, Erin S LeBlanc, Rowan T Chlebowski, Lesley F Tinker, Matthew A Allison, Bernhard Haring, Andrew O Odegaard, Sylvia Wassertheil-Smoller, Nazmus Saquib and 6 more

Abstract readMulticenter StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of internal medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Aaron K AragakiDivision of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, Washington (A.K.A., L.F.T., H.R.H., L.R.J., G.L.A.).ORCID 0000-0001-5075-6437
JoAnn E MansonDivision of Preventive Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts (J.E.M.).ORCID 0000-0002-9426-7595
Erin S LeBlancKaiser Permanente, Center for Health Research, Portland, Oregon (E.S.L.).ORCID 0000-0002-4067-3432
Rowan T ChlebowskiThe Lundquist Institute, Torrance, California (R.T.C.).
Lesley F TinkerDivision of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, Washington (A.K.A., L.F.T., H.R.H., L.R.J., G.L.A.).
Matthew A AllisonDepartment of Family Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California (M.A.A.).
Bernhard HaringDepartment of Medicine III, Saarland University Hospital, Homburg, Saarland, Germany, and Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York (B.H.).
Andrew O OdegaardDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, Irvine, California (A.O.O.).
Sylvia Wassertheil-SmollerDepartment of Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York (S.W.-S.).ORCID 0000-0002-5447-4653
Nazmus SaquibCollege of Medicine, Sulaiman Al-Rajhi University, Al-Qassim, Saudi Arabia (N.S.).ORCID 0000-0002-2819-2839
Kamal MasakiDepartment of Geriatric Medicine, University of Hawai'i, Honolulu, Hawai'i (K.M.).
Holly R HarrisDivision of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, Washington (A.K.A., L.F.T., H.R.H., L.R.J., G.L.A.).ORCID 0000-0002-2572-6727
Leah R JagerDivision of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, Washington (A.K.A., L.F.T., H.R.H., L.R.J., G.L.A.).ORCID 0000-0003-3362-2298
Jennifer W BeaDepartment of Health Promotion Sciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona (J.W.B.).
Jean Wactawski-WendeDepartment of Epidemiology and Environmental Health, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, New York (J.W.-W.).ORCID 0000-0003-3096-9595
Garnet L AndersonDivision of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, Washington (A.K.A., L.F.T., H.R.H., L.R.J., G.L.A.).ORCID 0000-0001-5087-7837

Funding

WOMEN'S HEALTH INITIATIVE - CLINICAL COORDINATING CENTER: TASK AREA B - LONG LIFE STUDY VISIT 2 LIMITED HOME VISIT75N92021D00001 · NHLBI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI ANDERSON, GARNET L. · 2021 to 2025
$52.0M
WOMEN'S HEALTH INITIATIVE (WHI) REGIONAL CENTER (RC): TASK AREA A AND A275N92021D00002 · NHLBI · STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW YORK AT BUFFALO · PI WACTAWSKI-WENDE, JEAN · 2021 to 2025
$6.9M
WOMEN'S HEALTH INITIATIVE (WHI) REGIONAL CENTER (RC) - TO EXERCISE OPTION PERIOD ONE (1) AND REVISE CONTRACT ARTICLES.75N92021D00004 · NHLBI · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI STEFANICK, MARCIA · 2021 to 2025
$6.5M
WOMEN'S HEALTH INITIATIVE (WHI) REGIONAL CENTER (RC) - TO EXERCISE OPTION PERIOD ONE (1) AND REVISE CONTRACT ARTICLES.75N92021D00003 · NHLBI · OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY · PI JACKSON, REBECCA · 2021 to 2025
$5.0M
WOMEN'S HEALTH INITIATIVE (WHI) REGIONAL CENTER (RC) - TO EXERCISE OPTION PERIOD ONE (1) AND REVISE CONTRACT ARTICLES.75N92021D00005 · NHLBI · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI VITOLINS, MARA · 2021 to 2025
$4.2M
NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92021D00001NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92021D00002NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100046CWHI NIH HHS 75N92021D00003WHI NIH HHS 75N92021D00004WHI NIH HHS 75N92021D00005
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundA 2020 consensus statement proposed body mass index (BMI)-specific waist circumference (WC) thresholds to improve patient care.

objectiveTo determine whether stratifying BMI categories by BMI-specific WC thresholds improves mortality risk prediction.

designProspective cohort study.

settingWomen's Health Initiative multicenter, population-based U.S. study, with enrollment from 1993 to 1998 and follow-up through 2021.

participants139 213 postmenopausal women aged 50 to 79 years were included in a development cohort ( MEASUREMENTS: Height, weight, and WC measured at enrollment. BMI categories were normal weight (18.5 to <25 kg/m

resultsOver a median of 24 years of follow-up, 69 297 participants died. Multivariable-adjusted mortality risk was consistently greater for BMI categories with large WC than those with normal WC. Compared with women with normal weight and normal WC, women with normal or overweight BMI but large WC (hazard ratios [HRs], 1.17 [95% CI, 1.12 to 1.21] and 1.19 [CI, 1.15 to 1.24], respectively) had risk similar to those with obesity-1 but normal WC (HR, 1.12 [CI, 1.08 to 1.16]). Mortality associated with obesity-1 and large WC (HR, 1.45 [CI, 1.35 to 1.55]) was similar to that with obesity-3 and normal WC (HR, 1.40 [CI, 1.28 to 1.54]). Models with BMI-specific WC thresholds improved discrimination and risk stratification at 10 years for Validation Cohort 1; c-statistics improved by 0.7% (CI, 0.3% to 1.0%) to 61.3% (CI, 60.2% to 62.5%), and continuous NRI was 20.4% (CI, 17.3% to 23.6%). Results were mixed for Validation Cohort 2; risk stratification improved (continuous NRI, 12.3% [CI, 8.5% to 16.0%]), but not discrimination. Results were similar at 20 years. LIMITATION: The study did not include men or younger women.

conclusionFurther stratifying BMI categories by WC thresholds modestly improved mortality risk stratification, with larger WC predicting greater mortality, although the degree of improvement varied by cohort. Discrimination did not improve consistently. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the National Institutes of Health.

Indexed as

Body Mass IndexPostmenopauseWaist CircumferenceAgedFemaleHumansMiddle AgedObesityOverweightProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsUnited States

Identifiers

PMID40623313
PMCPMC12395961

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