Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40621807›Full record

ArticleEcological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America2025

Aspen impedes wildfire spread in southwestern United States landscapes.

Matthew P Harris, Jonathan D Coop, Jared A Balik, Jessika R McFarland, Sean A Parks, Camille S Stevens-Rumann

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Fire lines adjacent to aspen are unlikely to hold during extreme burning conditions in southern Rocky Mountain forests.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026
    Article
  4. Aspen impedes wildfire spread in southwestern United States landscapes.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Matthew P HarrisClark School of Environment and Sustainability, Western Colorado University, Gunnison, Colorado, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0009-0872-2896
Jonathan D CoopClark School of Environment and Sustainability, Western Colorado University, Gunnison, Colorado, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3930-340X
Jared A BalikClark School of Environment and Sustainability, Western Colorado University, Gunnison, Colorado, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5302-5138
Jessika R McFarlandClark School of Environment and Sustainability, Western Colorado University, Gunnison, Colorado, USA.
Sean A ParksAldo Leopold Wilderness Research Institute, Rocky Mountain Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Missoula, Montana, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2982-5255
Camille S Stevens-RumannForest and Rangeland Stewardship and Colorado Forest Restoration Institute, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado, USA.

Funding

Southwest Climate Adaptation Science Center 678348U.S. Bureau of Land ManagementWestern Wildland Environmental Threat Assessment Center
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Aspen (Populus tremuloides) forests are generally thought to impede fire spread, yet the extent of this effect is not well quantified in relation to other vegetation types. We examined the influence of aspen cover on interpolated daily fire spread rates, the relative abundance of aspen at fire perimeters versus burn interiors, and whether these relationships shifted under more fire-conducive atmospheric conditions. Our study incorporated 314 fires occurring between 2001 and 2020 in the southwestern United States and a suite of gridded vegetation, topography, and fire weather predictor variables. We found that aspen slows fire progression: as aspen cover on the landscape increased, daily area burned and linear spread rate decreased. Where aspen cover was <10%, daily fire growth averaged 1112 ha/day and maximum linear spread was 2.1 km/day; where aspen exceeded 25%, these values dropped to 368 ha/day and 1.3 km/day. Aspen also serves as a barrier to fire spread, demonstrated through a higher proportion of aspen cover at fire perimeters than in burn interiors. Finally, though favorable fire weather conditions increased fire growth rates, differences between aspens and conifers persisted. Our results affirm that aspen stands can act as a firebreak, with clear applications for vegetation management. For example, interventions that shift conifer to aspen cover could lessen the risk of fire for nearby values at risk (e.g., communities, infrastructure) but still support forest ecosystem function. Further, wildfire-driven conversion from conifer to aspen forest types in some landscapes may produce a negative feedback that could dampen expected increases in fire activity under a warmer and drier climate.

Indexed as

FiresForestsPopulusWildfiresSouthwestern United Statesbroadleaf forestclimate changeconifer forestfuel treatmentgreen fuel breakquaking aspenresiliencestabilizing feedbackwildfire

Identifiers

PMID40621807
PMCPMC12231080

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.