Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40621668›Full record

ArticleJournal of pediatric gastroenterology and nutrition2025

Natural progression and prediction markers in non-clinically significant oesophageal varices in children.

Cody Chan, Akshat Goel, Robert Hegarty, Bethany Tucker, Vandana Jain, Eirini Kyrana, Tassos Grammatikopoulos

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of pediatric gastroenterology and nutrition, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Cody ChanPaediatric Liver, GI & Nutrition Centre and MowatLabs, King's College Hospital, London, UK.
Akshat GoelPaediatric Liver, GI & Nutrition Centre and MowatLabs, King's College Hospital, London, UK.
Robert HegartyPaediatric Liver, GI & Nutrition Centre and MowatLabs, King's College Hospital, London, UK.
Bethany TuckerPaediatric Liver, GI & Nutrition Centre and MowatLabs, King's College Hospital, London, UK.
Vandana JainPaediatric Liver, GI & Nutrition Centre and MowatLabs, King's College Hospital, London, UK.
Eirini KyranaPaediatric Liver, GI & Nutrition Centre and MowatLabs, King's College Hospital, London, UK.
Tassos GrammatikopoulosPaediatric Liver, GI & Nutrition Centre and MowatLabs, King's College Hospital, London, UK.

Funding

None
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesLimited literature exists on non-clinically significant varices (nCSV) and progression in children with portal hypertension (PHT). This study investigates trends and associations in this cohort.

methodsThis retrospective cohort study analysed 70 children with nCSV undergoing surveillance endoscopy between January 2012 and 2024. Laboratory parameters, prediction scores and fibroscan results were collected. Statistical analysis include Mann-Whitney U test, chi-squared test and receiver operating characteristic.

resultsTen children (14.3%) presented with portal vein thrombosis (PVT), 26 (37.1%) with non-biliary atresia chronic liver disease (CLD) and 34 (48.6%) with biliary atresia (BA). Twenty-five children (35.7%) had variceal progression, with median years until progression of 3 years recorded in PVT and CLD (PVT: 1-6 years, CLD: 2-8 years), and 2 years (1-10 years) in BA. Haemoglobin count (Hb) (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.943), risk score (AUC = 0.748), and spleen stiffness by fibroscan (SSM) (AUC = 1.00) revealed optimal accuracy in predicting progression in PVT, with similar findings in CLD (von Willebrand Factor score [vWFAg score]: AUC = 1.00, risk score: AUC = 0.767, SSM: AUC = 0.882). Suboptimal accuracy was seen in BA biomarkers.

conclusionsRisk score is a reliable marker to monitor variceal progression in CLD and PVT. Interim noninvasive scores could be trialled along with surveillance OGD to validate results. Caution is advised extending endoscopy period for children with BA. Due to small subgroup sizes, larger cohort studies are needed to validate SSM and vWFAg score in children with nCSV.

Indexed as

Esophageal and Gastric VaricesHypertension, PortalAdolescentBiliary AtresiaBiomarkersChildChild, PreschoolDisease ProgressionElasticity Imaging TechniquesFemaleHumansInfantMalePredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesROC CurveBiomarkersbiomarkersnon‐clinically significant varicesportal hypertensionrisk scorespleen stiffness measurementvariceal progressionVon Willebrand factor antigen

Identifiers

PMID40621668
PMCPMC12408977

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.