Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40620473›Full record

ArticleBrain communications2025

Deep learning to predict progression independent of relapse activity at a first demyelinating event.

Llucia Coll, Deborah Pareto, Francisco Aparicio-Serrano, Susana Otero-Romero, Alvaro Cobo-Calvo, Evy Reinders, Manel Alberich, María Jesús Arévalo, Georgina Arrambide, Cristina Auger and 17 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Brain communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

27 authors.

Llucia CollMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2224-1246
Deborah ParetoSection of Neuroradiology, Department of Radiology (IDI), Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7356-3769
Francisco Aparicio-SerranoMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.
Susana Otero-RomeroMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.
Alvaro Cobo-CalvoMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2574-0721
Evy ReindersMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.
Manel AlberichSection of Neuroradiology, Department of Radiology (IDI), Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.
María Jesús ArévaloMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.
Georgina ArrambideMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2657-5510
Cristina AugerSection of Neuroradiology, Department of Radiology (IDI), Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.
Joaquín CastillóMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.
Manuel ComabellaMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2373-6657
Ingrid GalánMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.
Luciana MidagliaMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.
Carlos NosMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.
Frederik NovakMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.
Arnau OliverResearch Institute of Computer Vision and Robotics, University of Girona, Girona 17003, Spain.
Jordi RíoMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.
Breogán Rodríguez-AcevedoMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.
Jaume Sastre-GarrigaMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1589-2254
Ángela Vidal-JordanaMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7270-5507
Ana ZabalzaMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3860-5251
Xavier MontalbanMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.
Àlex RoviraSection of Neuroradiology, Department of Radiology (IDI), Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2132-6750
Mar TintoréMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.
Xavier LladóResearch Institute of Computer Vision and Robotics, University of Girona, Girona 17003, Spain.
Carmen TurMultiple Sclerosis Centre of Catalonia (Cemcat), and Department of Neurology, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona 08035, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1849-3184

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Progression independent of relapse activity is the main cause of irreversible disability in multiple sclerosis and is strongly associated with older age at symptom onset. Early and accurate prediction, at symptom onset, of which patients are at highest risk of progression independent of relapses, is an unmet need. This study aimed to develop a deep learning survival model using only routine MRI acquired at the first demyelinating attack to predict the risk of progression independent of relapses, and assess its ability to improve classical age-adjusted predictions. We analysed a prospective cohort of patients under 50, clinically assessed within three months of symptom onset, with available MRI (T1- and T2-Fluid-Attenuated Inversion Recovery sequences). An independent early multiple sclerosis cohort (≤1 year from symptom onset) from the Multiple Sclerosis Partners Advancing Technology and Health Solutions database (

Indexed as

brain MRIdeep learningmultiple sclerosispredictive modelprogression independent of relapse activity

Identifiers

PMID40620473
PMCPMC12226453

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.