Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40620462›Full record

ArticleCommunications earth & environment2025

Winter stratospheric extreme events impact European storm damage.

Hilla Afargan-Gerstman, Daniela I V Domeisen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Communications earth & environment, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Hilla Afargan-GerstmanOeschger Center for Climate Change Research (OCCR), Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-9169-2764
Daniela I V DomeisenInstitute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-1463-929X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Extreme stratospheric events, such as sudden stratospheric warmings or strong polar vortex events, can have a persistent influence on winter surface weather. While these changes often lead to shifts in extratropical cyclone tracks and increased risk of extreme winds, flooding, or heavy snowfall, there has been no systematic effort to quantify their associated impacts with respect to stratospheric forcing. Here we establish the connection between stratospheric extreme events and midlatitude storms in the Euro-Atlantic region using reanalysis of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and impact datasets. We show that storm-related hazards in northern Europe occur more frequently following strong vortex events than after sudden stratospheric warmings. Moreover, stratospheric forcing shapes the geographic pattern of storm impacts. Quantifying these connections - from precursors to hazards and impacts - can enable earlier warnings for society and for decision-makers in sectors such as emergency preparedness, public health, energy, and water management.

Indexed as

Atmospheric dynamicsNatural hazards

Identifiers

PMID40620462
PMCPMC12227310

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.