Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40619824›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of technology assessment in health care2025

Predicting response to immunotherapy in lung cancer: an early HTA of predictive tests.

Tim Govers, Evelien van Well, Rik De Wijn, Michel van den Heuvel

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of technology assessment in health care, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Tim GoversDepartment of Medical Imaging, https://ror.org/05wg1m734Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4877-3198
Evelien van WellDepartment of Medical Imaging, https://ror.org/05wg1m734Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6030-3615
Rik De Wijnhttps://ror.org/03c9hf945Pamgene International, Den Bosch, The Netherlands.
Michel van den HeuvelDepartment of Pulmonary Diseases, https://ror.org/05wg1m734Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesPredictive biomarkers can identify patients who are more likely to respond to immunotherapy, which can guide treatment decisions. The objective of this study was to assess the potential value of predictive biomarkers in advanced NSCLC patients to guide the development of cost-effective biomarkers in this field.

methodsA decision analytical model was constructed to compare theoretical new strategies with biomarkers to the current standard of care. The analysis was performed for three different patient groups based on PD-L1 status. Differences in health outcomes (QALYs) and costs were assessed between the current practice and these biomarker strategies.

resultsOmitting immunotherapy in NSCLC patients with a PD-L1 score < 1 percent or between 1 and 49 percent, and a negative biomarker test, could potentially reduce healthcare costs significantly a small loss in QALYs. In these groups, a biomarker test is potentially cost-effective as the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio largely exceeds a willingness-to-accept threshold of €80,000 saved per QALY lost. For patients with a PD-L1 score > 50 percent, a considerable QALY gain can potentially be realized by adding chemotherapy to patients with a negative biomarker test. However, this comes at a significant increase in costs and appears not to be cost-effective.

conclusionsIn general, predictive biomarkers seem to have the potential to increase the cost-effectiveness of treatment with immunotherapy in patients with advanced NSCLC. Optimal positioning of a biomarker depends on the weighing between health impact and costs.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell LungImmunotherapyLung NeoplasmsTechnology Assessment, BiomedicalB7-H1 AntigenBiomarkers, TumorCost-Benefit AnalysisDecision Support TechniquesHumansQuality-Adjusted Life YearsB7-H1 AntigenBiomarkers, TumorCD274 protein, humancost-effectivenesscostsearly HTAlung cancerpredictive biomarkersQALY

Identifiers

PMID40619824
PMCPMC12390746

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.