Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40615969›Full record

ArticleBMC medical imaging2025

Predicting ESWL success for ureteral stones: a radiomics-based machine learning approach.

Ran Yang, Dan Zhao, Chunxue Ye, Ming Hu, Xiao Qi, Zhichao Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical imaging, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Ran YangDepartment of Radiology, Chongqing Western Hospital, No. 301, Huafu Avenue North, Jiulongpo District, Chongqing, 400050, China.
Dan ZhaoDepartment of Radiology, Chongqing Western Hospital, No. 301, Huafu Avenue North, Jiulongpo District, Chongqing, 400050, China.
Chunxue YeDepartment of Radiology, Chongqing Western Hospital, No. 301, Huafu Avenue North, Jiulongpo District, Chongqing, 400050, China.
Ming HuDepartment of Radiology, Second People's Hospital of Jiu Long Po District, No. 318 Huayu Road, Jiulongpo District, Chongqing, 400052, China.
Xiao QiDepartment of Radiology, Second People's Hospital of Jiu Long Po District, No. 318 Huayu Road, Jiulongpo District, Chongqing, 400052, China.
Zhichao LiDepartment of Radiology, Chongqing Western Hospital, No. 301, Huafu Avenue North, Jiulongpo District, Chongqing, 400050, China. 31956839@qq.com.

Funding

The Medical Research Project of the Chongqing Municipal Health Commission 2024WSJK099
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThis study aimed to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model that integrates radiomics and conventional radiological features to predict the success of single-session extracorporeal shock wave lithotripsy (ESWL) for ureteral stones.

methodsThis retrospective study included 329 patients with ureteral stones who underwent ESWL between October 2022 and June 2024. Patients were randomly divided into a training set (n = 230) and a test set (n = 99) in a 7:3 ratio. Preoperative clinical data and noncontrast CT images were collected, and radiomic features were extracted by outlining the stone's region of interest (ROI). Univariate analysis was used to identify clinical and conventional radiological features related to the success of single-session ESWL. Radiomic features were selected using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm to calculate a radiomic score (Rad-score). Five machine learning models (RF, KNN, LR, SVM, AdaBoost) were developed using 10-fold cross-validation. Model performance was assessed using AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and F1 score. Calibration and decision curve analyses were used to evaluate model calibration and clinical value. SHAP analysis was conducted to interpret feature importance, and a nomogram was built to improve model interpretability.

resultsUreteral diameter proximal to the stone (UDPS), stone-to-skin distance (SSD), and renal pelvic width (RPW) were identified as significant predictors. Six radiomic features were selected from 1,595 to calculate the Rad-score. The LR model showed the best performance on the test set, with an accuracy of 83.8%, sensitivity of 84.9%, specificity of 82.6%, F1 score of 84.9%, and AUC of 0.888 (95% CI: 0.822-0.949). SHAP analysis indicated that the Rad-score and UDPS were the most influential features. Calibration and decision curve analyses confirmed the model's good calibration and clinical utility.

conclusionThe LR model, integrating radiomics and conventional radiological features, demonstrated strong performance in predicting the success of single-session ESWL for ureteral stones. This approach may assist clinicians in making more accurate treatment decisions.

trial registrationRetrospectively. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: Not applicable.

Indexed as

LithotripsyMachine LearningTomography, X-Ray ComputedUreteral CalculiAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRadiomicsRetrospective StudiesTreatment OutcomeExtracorporeal shock wave lithotripsyMachine learningRadiomicsUreteral stones

Identifiers

PMID40615969
PMCPMC12228301

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.