Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40615677›Full record

ArticleCommunications biology2025

Identifying late Pleistocene and Holocene refugia for baboons.

James Blinkhorn, Dietmar Zinner, Lucy Timbrell, Andrea Manica, Matt Grove, Eleanor M L Scerri

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Communications biology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

James BlinkhornDepartment of Archaeology, Classics, and Egyptology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK. j.blinkhorn@liverpool.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9399-5515
Dietmar ZinnerCognitive Ethology Laboratory, German Primate Center, Leibniz Institute for Primate Research, Göttingen, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3967-8014
Lucy TimbrellDepartment of Archaeology, Classics, and Egyptology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Andrea ManicaDepartment of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1895-450X
Matt GroveDepartment of Archaeology, Classics, and Egyptology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2293-8732
Eleanor M L ScerriHuman Palaeosystems Group, Max Planck Institute of Geoanthropology, Jena, Germany. scerri@gea.mpg.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7468-9977

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change has the scope to significantly modulate the distribution of floral and faunal taxa, with those regions persistently suitable to a population through the largest environmental perturbations termed "refugia". Within Africa, focus has been placed on forest refugia during glacial cycles as hotspots of biodiversity, whilst refugia for savannah species have been overlooked. We compiled a comprehensive dataset of baboon occurrences and fitted species distribution model ensembles to predict the present potential habitable range of each species and the genus as a whole. We then hindcasted these models to palaeoclimate reconstructions spanning the Late Pleistocene and Holocene in 1-thousand-year time steps to predict potentially habitable ranges throughout a full interglacial-glacial cycle. Our results indicate a substantial mosaic of refugia in the eastern African Rift Valley system, a discrete refugium in southern and south-western Africa, as well as isolated refugia across western Africa and Arabia. Orbital precession and obliquity both play a role in driving maxima and minima or predicted habitable ranges for alternate baboon species, but these appear expressed within ca. 100 thousand-year eccentricity cycles. This supports the use of full interglacial-glacial cycles, rather than simply comparing peak glacial and interglacial conditions, to determine the presence of refugia.

Indexed as

Climate ChangePapioRefugiumAfricaAnimalsBiodiversity

Identifiers

PMID40615677
PMCPMC12227712

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.