Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40607285›Full record

ArticleAnnals of gastroenterological surgery2025

Cost-effectiveness analysis of postoperative surveillance for stage IV colorectal cancer in Japan: An economic modeling study.

Fumio Tsukamoto, Shunsuke Tsukamoto, Takeharu Kato, Hiroshi Nagata, Yasuyuki Takamizawa, Konosuke Moritani, Yusuke Kinugasa, Minoru Esaki, Yukihide Kanemitsu, Ataru Igarashi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of gastroenterological surgery, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Fumio TsukamotoDepartment of Colorectal Surgery National Cancer Center Hospital Tokyo Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0752-8356
Shunsuke TsukamotoDepartment of Colorectal Surgery National Cancer Center Hospital Tokyo Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5143-6312
Takeharu KatoDepartment of Colorectal Surgery National Cancer Center Hospital Tokyo Japan.
Hiroshi NagataDepartment of Colorectal Surgery National Cancer Center Hospital Tokyo Japan.
Yasuyuki TakamizawaDepartment of Colorectal Surgery National Cancer Center Hospital Tokyo Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9751-3309
Konosuke MoritaniDepartment of Colorectal Surgery National Cancer Center Hospital Tokyo Japan.
Yusuke KinugasaDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine Institute of Science Tokyo Tokyo Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7885-2276
Minoru EsakiDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery National Cancer Center Hospital Tokyo Japan.
Yukihide KanemitsuDepartment of Colorectal Surgery National Cancer Center Hospital Tokyo Japan.
Ataru IgarashiDepartment of Health Economics and Outcomes Research, Graduate School of Pharmaceutical Science The University of Tokyo Tokyo Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The optimal postoperative surveillance strategy after curative resection in patients with stage IV colorectal cancer remains unclear. The present study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of postoperative surveillance strategies recommended by the various academic societies for stage IV colorectal cancer after curative resection. Methods: This economic evaluation used a Markov state-transition model to compare the cost-effectiveness of postoperative surveillance programs proposed in guidelines published by the American Society of Clinical Oncology, American Society of Colon and Rectal Surgeons, European Society for Medical Oncology, National Comprehensive Cancer Network, and Japanese Society for Cancer of the Colon and Rectum. Model parameters were extracted from our retrospective data for patients with colorectal cancer who had synchronous liver and/or lung metastases and underwent curative resection. Cost-effectiveness was assessed using an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for quality-adjusted life years, with a maximum acceptable value of 5 000 000-6 000 000 JPY/33333-40 000 USD. Uncertainty in the model was assessed by probabilistic sensitivity analyses. Results: For patients with stage IV colorectal cancer after curative resection, the JSCCR-strategy was the most cost-effective, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of 2 888 628 JPY/19256 USD compared with the next most cost-effective program. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that the JSCCR-strategy was most likely to be selected as the most cost-effective (76.1%-77.9%). Conclusions: This modeling analysis found that the JSCCR-strategy was the most cost-effective strategy for stage IV colorectal cancer. Our findings suggest that intensive postoperative surveillance is acceptable for stage IV colorectal cancer.

Indexed as

colorectal cancercost‐effectiveness analysismetastasisquality‐adjusted life yearssurveillance

Identifiers

PMID40607285
PMCPMC12211112

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.