Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40605878›Full record

ArticleCureus2025

Evaluating the Performance of Four Risk Assessment Scores in Nonvariceal Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding.

Omer Kheir, Mohammed Ghamdi, Sheikha Dossary, Anwar B Alotaibi, Elrasheed M Elsabani, Hanin Fahad, Mona Alfaifi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cureus, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Omer KheirPopulation Health, Johns Hopkins Aramco Healthcare, Dhahran, SAU.
Mohammed GhamdiPopulation Health, Johns Hopkins Aramco Healthcare, Dhahran, SAU.
Sheikha DossaryPopulation Health, Johns Hopkins Aramco Healthcare, Dhahran, SAU.
Anwar B AlotaibiResearch, Johns Hopkins Aramco Healthcare, Dhahran, SAU.
Elrasheed M ElsabaniHospital Medicine, Johns Hopkins Aramco Healthcare, Dhahran, SAU.
Hanin FahadEpidemiology and Biostatistics, Princess Nourah Bint Abdulrahman University, Riyadh, SAU.
Mona AlfaifiEpidemiology and Biostatistics, Princess Nourah Bint Abdulrahman University, Riyadh, SAU.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionNonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) continues to remain a life-threatening medical emergency, resulting in significant morbidity and mortality. Several scoring systems have been developed to predict outcomes, but the best risk stratification tool for emergency situations remains uncertain. This study examines four existing scoring systems: the blood urea nitrogen-to-serum albumin ratio (BAR), the international normalized ratio-to-albumin ratio (PTAR), the lactate-to-albumin ratio (LTA), and the National Early Warning Score (NEWS).

methodsThis retrospective, hospital-based study was conducted at the Johns Hopkins Aramco Healthcare (JHAH) facility in eastern Saudi Arabia from January 2020 to September 2023. Eligible participants were non-trauma UGIB patients aged 18 years or older. Cancer patients were excluded. Patient characteristics, vital signs, test results, comorbidities, disposition, and survival status at discharge were among the information collected from medical records. The four score systems were calculated and compared based on their predictive performance.

resultNEWS demonstrated the highest overall predictive performance, particularly for hospital admission (AUC 84%) and 90-day mortality (AUC 77.2%). Both NEWS and BAR were equally effective in predicting blood transfusion (AUC 71.7%). LTA showed the highest sensitivity for mortality prediction (75%), while PTAR provided moderate predictive value across all outcomes.

conclusionAmong the four scoring systems evaluated, NEWS consistently outperformed others in predicting key clinical outcomes in NVUGIB, making it a reliable tool for initial risk stratification. BAR is also valuable for assessing transfusion needs, while LTA and PTAR may serve complementary roles depending on the clinical context.

Indexed as

barltanational early warning score (news)nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleedingptarrisk stratificationupper gastrointestinal bleeding

Identifiers

PMID40605878
PMCPMC12221101

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.