Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40604746›Full record

ArticleRespiratory research2025

Integrating CT radiomics and clinical features using machine learning to predict post-COVID pulmonary fibrosis.

Qianqian Zhao, Yijie Li, Chunliu Zhao, Ran Dong, Jiaxin Tian, Ze Zhang, Lin Huang, Jingwen Huang, Junhai Yan, Zhitao Yang and 5 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Respiratory research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Qianqian Zhao *Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No.197, Ruijin No.2 Road, Shanghai, 200025, China.
Yijie Li *Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No.197, Ruijin No.2 Road, Shanghai, 200025, China.
Chunliu Zhao *Department of Respiratory Medicine, Luwan Branch, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, People's Republic of China.
Ran DongDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, No.389, Xincun Road, Shanghai, 200065, China.
Jiaxin TianDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No.197, Ruijin No.2 Road, Shanghai, 200025, China.
Ze ZhangDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Lin HuangDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No.197, Ruijin No.2 Road, Shanghai, 200025, China.
Jingwen HuangDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No.197, Ruijin No.2 Road, Shanghai, 200025, China.
Junhai YanDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, Luwan Branch, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, People's Republic of China.
Zhitao YangDepartment of Emergency, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200025, China.
Jiangnan RuanHangzhou Smart Intelligent Co., Ltd, Hangzhou, China.
Ping WangHangzhou Smart Intelligent Co., Ltd, Hangzhou, China.
Li YuDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, No.389, Xincun Road, Shanghai, 200065, China. 96778@tongji.edu.cn.
Jieming QuDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No.197, Ruijin No.2 Road, Shanghai, 200025, China. mqu0906@163.com.
Min ZhouDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No.197, Ruijin No.2 Road, Shanghai, 200025, China. doctor_zhou_99@163.com.

Funding

National Key Research and Development Program of China 2024YFC3044400National Key Research and Development Program of China 2024YFC3044600Noncommunicable Chronic Diseases-National Science and Technology Major Project 2023ZD0506200Noncommunicable Chronic Diseases-National Science and Technology Major Project 2023ZD0506201Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine High Level Local University Innovation Team SSMUZDCX20181001Shanghai Targeted Biomedical Emergency Project 23DX1900300The youth project of National Natural Science Foundation of China 82200004
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe lack of reliable biomarkers for the early detection and risk stratification of post-COVID-19 pulmonary fibrosis (PCPF) underscores the urgency advanced predictive tools. This study aimed to develop a machine learning-based predictive model integrating quantitative CT (qCT) radiomics and clinical features to assess the risk of lung fibrosis in COVID-19 patients.

methodsA total of 204 patients with confirmed COVID-19 pneumonia were included in the study. Of these, 93 patients were assigned to the development cohort (74 for training and 19 for internal validation), while 111 patients from three independent hospitals constituted the external validation cohort. Chest CT images were analyzed using qCT software. Clinical data and laboratory parameters were obtained from electronic health records. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression with 5-fold cross-validation was used to select the most predictive features. Twelve machine learning algorithms were independently trained. Their performances were evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, area under the curve (AUC) values, sensitivity, and specificity.

resultsSeventy-eight features were extracted and reduced to ten features for model development. These included two qCT radiomics signatures: (1) whole lung_reticulation (%) interstitial lung disease (ILD) texture analysis, (2) interstitial lung abnormality (ILA)_Num of lung zones ≥ 5%_whole lung_ILA. Among 12 machine learning algorithms evaluated, the support vector machine (SVM) model demonstrated the best predictive performance, with AUCs of 0.836 (95% CI: 0.830-0.842) in the training cohort, 0.796 (95% CI: 0.777-0.816) in the internal validation cohort, and 0.797 (95% CI: 0.691-0.873) in the external validation cohort.

conclusionsThe integration of CT radiomics, clinical and laboratory variables using machine learning provides a robust tool for predicting pulmonary fibrosis progression in COVID-19 patients, facilitating early risk assessment and intervention.

Indexed as

COVID-19LungMachine LearningPulmonary FibrosisTomography, X-Ray ComputedAgedCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRadiomicsRetrospective StudiesMachine learningPost-acute COVID-19 sequelaePulmonary fibrosisQuantitative CTRadiomics

Identifiers

PMID40604746
PMCPMC12225148

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.