Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40604541›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2025

Epidemiological trends of hand, foot, and mouth disease in children under age 10, Jiangning District, Jiangsu, China (2009-2023).

Baiqun Wu, Xiangnan Zhang, Minhui Fu, Xiaoming Ji

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Baiqun Wu *The Jiangning District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, China.
Xiangnan Zhang *Department of Occupational Medicine and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, 101 Longmian Avenue, Nanjing, 211166, China.
Minhui FuThe Jiangning District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, China.
Xiaoming JiDepartment of Occupational Medicine and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, 101 Longmian Avenue, Nanjing, 211166, China. xmji@njmu.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThis study aimed to analyse the epidemiological characteristics of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) among children under age 10 in Jiangning District, Jiangsu Province, from 2009 to 2023, explore its changing trends, and provide a scientific basis for optimizing public health prevention and control strategies.

methodsHFMD case data were obtained from the "Notifiable Infectious Disease Reporting Information Management System". Descriptive statistical analysis was used to assess HFMD incidence, joinpoint regression analysis was applied to analyse long-term trends, and wavelet analysis was used to explore seasonality and periodicity.

resultsA total of 50,645 HFMD cases in children under 10 years of age were reported during the study period, with an average annual incidence rate of 3,136.01 per 100,000 people. The annual incidence rate fluctuated between 544.39 per 100,000 (in 2022) and 6,260.63 per 100,000 (in 2018), showing an initial steady increase, followed by a sharp decline and a rapid rebound. HFMD showed a pronounced incidence peak during summer and autumn, with periodic fluctuations at intervals of 6 months, 12 months, and 24 months. Boys had a higher incidence rate, with an average annual rate of 3588.07 per 100,000, compared with 2646.00 per 100,000 in girls. Children aged 1 and 3 years had the highest incidence rates. The dominant serotypes shifted, with an overall decline in the proportions of EV-A71 and CVA16, whereas CVA6 emerged as the predominant circulating serotype. Moreover, the proportion of severe cases has continued to decrease.

conclusionThe incidence of HFMD among children under age 10 in Jiangning District remains high, and the predominant serotypes have changed in recent years. The decline in incidence during the COVID-19 pandemic and its subsequent recovery may be linked to non-pharmacological interventions and the "immune debt" phenomenon, a relationship that warrants further validation. The EV-A71 vaccine and improved public health interventions have contributed to a steady decline in the severity rate. Strengthening surveillance, developing vaccines targeting predominant serotypes, and optimizing prevention and control strategies are essential for the precise prevention and control of HFMD in children.

Indexed as

Hand, Foot and Mouth DiseaseChildChild, PreschoolChinaFemaleHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornMaleSeasonsChildrenEpidemiological characteristicsHand, foot, and mouth diseaseHuman enterovirusIncidence trendsPathogen detection

Identifiers

PMID40604541
PMCPMC12220131

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.