Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40603883›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

The importance of distinguishing between natural and managed tree cover gains in the moist tropics.

Xueyuan Gao, Peter B Reich, Jeffrey R Vincent, Matthew E Fagan, Robin L Chazdon, Steffen Fritz, Dmitry Schepaschenko, Matthew D Potts, Matthew C Hansen, Martin Jung and 8 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Xueyuan GaoDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA. xg6497@princeton.edu.
Peter B ReichInstitute for Global Change Biology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4424-662X
Jeffrey R VincentNicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0544-1019
Matthew E FaganDepartment of Geography and Environmental Systems, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8023-9251
Robin L ChazdonForest Research Institute, University of the Sunshine Coast, Sippy Downs, QLD, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7349-5687
Steffen FritzAdvancing Systems Analysis Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0420-8549
Dmitry SchepaschenkoAdvancing Systems Analysis Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7814-4990
Matthew D PottsDepartment of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7442-3944
Matthew C HansenDepartment of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0042-2767
Martin JungBiodiversity and Natural Resources Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7569-1390
Pedro H S BrancalionDepartment of Forest Sciences, University of São Paulo, Piracicaba, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8245-4062
María UriarteDepartment of Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Biology, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0484-0758
Trevor F KeenanDepartment of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3347-0258
Thomas W CrowtherInstitute of Integrative Biology, ETH Zurich (Swiss Federal Institute of Technology), Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5674-8913
Ralph O DubayahDepartment of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1440-6346
Myroslava LesivAdvancing Systems Analysis Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9846-3342
Shunlin LiangJockey Club Laboratory of Quantitative Remote Sensing, Department of Geography, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Dongdong WangDepartment of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Naturally regenerated forests and managed tree systems provide different levels of carbon, biodiversity, and livelihood benefits. Here, we show that tree cover gains in the moist tropics during 1982-2015 were 56% ± 3% naturally regenerated forests and 27% ± 2.6% managed tree systems, with these differences in forest type, not only natural conditions (climate, soil, and topography), driving observed carbon recovery rates. The remaining 17% ± 3% likely represents small, unmanaged tree patches within non-forest cover types. Achieving global forest restoration goals requires robust monitoring, reporting, and verification of forest types established by restoration initiatives.

Indexed as

Conservation of Natural ResourcesForestryForestsTreesTropical ClimateBiodiversityCarbonSoilCarbonSoil

Identifiers

PMID40603883
PMCPMC12222686

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.