Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40596870›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2025

Optimizing quarantine in pandemic control: a multi-stage SEIQR modeling approach to COVID-19 transmission dynamics.

Nawal H Siddig, Laila A Al-Essa

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Nawal H SiddigDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, College of Science, Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, P.O. Box 84428, Riyadh, 11671, Saudi Arabia. nhsiddig@pnu.edu.sa.
Laila A Al-EssaDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, College of Science, Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, P.O. Box 84428, Riyadh, 11671, Saudi Arabia.

Funding

Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University Researchers Supporting PNURSP2025R443
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study develops and applies an advanced SEIQR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Quarantined-Removed) model to explore the intricate dynamics of COVID-19 transmission. By incorporating a quarantined compartment into traditional epidemiological frameworks, the model offers a comprehensive examination of how isolation protocols affect pandemic progression. Key parameters such as infection rates, incubation periods, and quarantine durations are systematically analyzed to quantify their influence on the basic reproduction number (ℛ₀) and pandemic trajectory. Simulations reveal that timely and stringent quarantine interventions can reduce peak caseloads by up to 30%, delaying outbreak surges and alleviating pressure on healthcare systems. The model’s robustness is validated against empirical data, confirming its suitability as a predictive and policy-supporting tool. This research not only emphasizes the vital role of quarantine in public health management but also sets a foundational precedent for modeling future outbreaks with similar transmission profiles.

Indexed as

COVID-19PandemicsQuarantineBasic Reproduction NumberComputer SimulationEpidemiological ModelsHumansModels, TheoreticalSARS-CoV-2COVID-19Pandemic modelingQuarantine dynamicsReproduction numberSEIQR model

Identifiers

PMID40596870
PMCPMC12220114

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.