Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40594221›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Global trends, health inequalities, and projections in the burden of neglected tropical diseases and malaria from 1990 to 2021.

Yang Lin, Qipeng Long, Jihong Sun, Jialian Li, Yang Li, Jin Liu, Yiming Zhang, Yufei Wang, Shulong Jiang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Yang Lin *Clinical Medical Laboratory Center, Jining First People's Hospital, Shandong First Medical University, Jining, 272000, China.
Qipeng Long *Clinical Medical Laboratory Center, Jining First People's Hospital, Shandong First Medical University, Jining, 272000, China.
Jihong SunSchool of Public Health, Binzhou Medical University, Yantai, 264003, China.
Jialian LiYantai Preschool Education College, Yantai, 265600, China.
Yang LiInstitute of Occupational Health and Poison Control, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 100050, China.
Jin LiuClinical Medical Laboratory Center, Jining First People's Hospital, Shandong First Medical University, Jining, 272000, China.
Yiming ZhangCollege of First Clinical Medicine, Shandong University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Jinan, 250000, China.
Yufei WangDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Jining First People's Hospital, Shandong First Medical University, #6 Jiankang Road, Jining, 272000, China. 61023764@qq.com.
Shulong JiangClinical Medical Laboratory Center, Jining First People's Hospital, Shandong First Medical University, Jining, 272000, China. jnsljiang@163.com.

Funding

Key Research and Development Program of Jining City No. 2023YXNS223Project of National Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine No. GZY-KJS-SD-2023-026
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Neglected Tropical Diseases (NTDs) and malaria, as tropical diseases, have long been major global public health challenges, particularly in low-income countries. Although the burden of NTDs and malaria has declined in recent years, significant health inequalities persist across regions. In the future, climate change may further exacerbate the burden of NTDs and malaria, with these burdens likely to disproportionately concentrate in low-income countries. This study aims to describe the global trends in the burden of NTDs and malaria, reveal health inequalities, and forecast future disease burdens. This study utilizes the latest data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021 to assess the global trends and spatial distribution of NTDs and malaria burden from 1990 to 2021. Inequality analyses and frontier analysis were employed to evaluate disparities in disease burden and governance potential across countries, and the interactive effects between environmental risks and socio-economic factors on the burden of NTDs and malaria were explored in depth. Furthermore, the Bayes Age-Prior-Cohort model was used to forecast changes in disease burden from 2022 to 2041. From 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized DALY rate for NTDs and malaria declined from 1506.54 to 1020.27 per 100,000. Western Sub-Saharan Africa remains the most affected, contributing 51.18% of the global burden. Males have lower incidence but higher mortality rates compared to females. Despite improvements in global inequality, regional disparities persist. Environmental and socio-economic factors interact significantly, exacerbating the burden in vulnerable regions. The NTDs and malaria burden is projected to increase over the next 20 years, particularly in Middle and Low-middle Socio-Demographic Index (SDI) regions. Despite a global decline in the burden of NTDs and malaria, low-income countries, particularly in Western Sub-Saharan Africa, continue to experience significant health inequalities. Global climate change may exacerbate this burden, and these burdens will be disproportionately concentrated in tropical, poverty-stricken countries.

Indexed as

Health Status DisparitiesMalariaNeglected DiseasesClimate ChangeCost of IllnessFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthHumansMaleSocioeconomic FactorsTropical MedicineGlobal burden of diseaseInequalityMalariaNeglected tropical diseasesProjectionTrendTropical disease

Identifiers

PMID40594221
PMCPMC12215726

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.